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外籍分析师
芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
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A great match to bet on in Norway!

2022-07-07

比赛分析

主队格鲁德LOGO

格鲁德

挪甲

已完赛

星期五2022-07-08 00:00

客队桑德尼斯LOGO

桑德尼斯

解读理由

Grorud VS Sandnes


Grorud welcome Sandnes for this Norwegian OBOS-Ligaen round 13 clash at Grorud Matchbane Oslo, the capital of Norway. This is the second tier of this small Nordic country’s football and is not of very high level to be honest, but his league does offer my and me lucrative betting opportunities! The home advantage is not as big as in say for example in The English Premier League or French Ligue 1 but Grorud do have quite good fans. It is true that their recent record is not too impressive which, I believe, affects the odds here too much. In their most recent home match they faced Brann, the team that currently top the standings and have grabbed an impressive 32 points so far. They also have a whoppingly good goal difference - 36:8. Grorud did not have a genuine chance of taking points in this match but were still able to create a few scoring chances and the ball possession was just 47-53% in favor of Brann. Let’s not forget that Grorud were massive underdogs in this clash. Indeed, the visitors were around 1.20 favorites to win according to the betting market. I think it was, after all, a positive performance from Grorud. They fought well and have a very good team spirit! If they can perform at a similar level today, they probably will not lose.. A draw would be enough for my fans and me to win with the +0.5 goals handicap option. The chance of winning is 67%. The visitors are undoubtedy slightly better by pure class but with the home advantage the hosts are narrow favorites in my opinion.

Neither team are in particularly good form – especially results-wise - at the moment. Both have lost two of their latest matches and the hosts have actually not won any of their most recent five matches. However, I will not be fooled by these lame results! They played quite well in their most recent match against Skeid away from home as clear underdogs according to the betting market. They had slightly over 50% ball possession and recorded a few more attacks and dangerous attacks. They would have deserved at least a point. They currently occupy the 14th place in this league of 16 teams total but I want to highlight that in terms of expected points they would have deserved more than the six points they now have to their account. In terms of players’ total market value, the difference between the two teams is small. Indeed, according to a respected German website Transfermarkt.com the hosts’ squad is valued at 2.4 million euros. Sandnes’s players’ total market valued is 2.8 million – a bit too high in my opinion.. The visitors are worse at the moment than the league table ( 8th) would suggest and were abysmal at home against Raufoss at home losing 1-4 as clear favorites according to the bookies. Raufoss are not even a particularly strong team. Before this they lost to Asane 1-2 away from. Asane too are a mediocre team at best. They seem to have quite serious problems with their defensive structure and whilst they are capable of improving, they are definitely respected here too much by the betting market!

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