Milos头像
外籍分析师
塞尔维亚职业体育高手,精通欧洲足球,已有15年足球分析经验。
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Argentina duel! Who will win?

2022-07-06

比赛分析

解放者杯

已完赛

星期四2022-07-07 08:30

解读理由

River Plate and Velez Sarsfield meet for the second tie of the Copa Libertadores playoff stage. The first game resulted in a surprising 1-0 victory for Velez Sarsfield, who are the underdogs in this two-tie meeting. River is the most supported and the biggest club in Argentina, and is also one of the most successful teams in South America. With eighteen international trophies, and forty-nine league titles, the hosts are in the chase for another Copa Libertadores trophy, winning the last two in 2018 and 2015. Sarsfield lost the last time they visited River Plate at the famous Monumental Stadium in Buenos Aires, as the match ended 2-0 for the hosts.

River is unbeaten in its previous four home games. They arrive from a 3-2 away loss to Huracan, the club's second consecutive defeat so far. Coached by a phenomenal manager Marcelo Gallardo, who is wanted by many European clubs, there is no doubt the hosts are able to come back from a 0-1 deficit in this playoff round, and I also expected them to do so. Plate's previous match at the Monumental Stadium resulted in a 2-1 victory against Lanus. In the top tier of Argentinian football, the guests sit in twenty-second place after finishing fifth last year. On the flip side, River Plate wants to defend its 2021 league title.

The only absentee for this game on the home side will be Robert Rojas, while the visitors miss Lautaro Giannetti and Diego Godin. The group stage was a piece of cake for the hosts, as they won five and shared points in one game in a group joined by Fortaleza, Colo Colo, and Alianza Lima. Velez Sarsfield did a worse job, barely finishing second in a group with Estudiantes, Nacional, and Bragantino. They scored twelve and conceded eleven goals in six matches, while River Plate ended the group with an 18:3 goal record.

Considering everything stated above, I expect the hosts to win here. Good luck!


河床和萨斯菲尔德在解放者杯季后赛阶段的第二场比赛中交手。第一场比赛萨斯菲以令人惊讶的 1-0 取胜,他们在这场两平赛中处于劣势。河床是阿根廷最受支持和最大的俱乐部,也是南美最成功的球队之一。拥有 18 个国际奖杯和 49 个联赛冠军,主队正在追逐另一个解放者杯奖杯,他们在 2018 年和 2015 年赢得了最后两个奖杯。萨斯菲尔德上次在布宜诺斯艾利斯著名的纪念体育场挑战河床时输了,主队以 2-0 结束比赛。

河床在之前的四场主场比赛中保持不败。他们在客场以 3-2 负于 Huracan 的情况下来到这场比赛,这是俱乐部迄今为止连续第二次失利。由许多欧洲俱乐部都想要的现象级经理马塞洛·加拉多执教,毫无疑问,主队能够在本轮季后赛中以0-1的比分扳平比分,我也期待他们这样做。河床上一场在纪念体育场的比赛以 2-1 战胜拉努斯。在阿根廷足球的顶级联赛中,客队在去年获得第五名后排在第二位。另一方面,河床想要卫冕 2021 年的联赛冠军。

本场比赛主队唯一缺席的将是罗伯特·罗哈斯,而客队则错过了劳塔罗·詹内蒂和迭戈·戈丁。小组赛对主队来说是小菜一碟,因为他们在福塔莱萨、科洛科洛和阿利安扎利马加入的小组中赢得了五场比赛并在一场比赛中分享了积分。萨斯菲尔德的表现更差,在与 Estudiantes、Nacional 和 Bragantino 的小组中勉强获得第二名。他们在六场比赛中打进十二球,丢了十一个球,而河床队则以 18:3 的净胜球结束了小组赛。

考虑到上述一切,我预测主队获胜。祝好运!

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