Kongsvinger VS Ranheim

Kongsvinger VS Ranheim

Kongsvinger host Ranheim at Gjemselund Stadion in Kongsvinger for this Norwegian OBOS-Ligaen round 12 clash. This is the second highest level of Norwegian football and the difference the first tier, Elitserien is substantial. This league does not offer great entertainment for football lovers but often offers lucrative betting opportunities. As a whole Norwegian football is on the rise – their national team have improved a lot lately - and not only thanks to the young super star Erling Håland! This has increased the public’s interest in Elitserien and this league as well. The home advantage here is not as big as let’s say for Newcastle United in the English Premier League but is still something we should not underestimate here! By raw class the hosts are only marginally better in my opinion. However, in front of home fans, with today’s expected squads available, Kongvinger are the favorites and with the recommend bet on them, with the +0.5 goals handicap option the chance of winning is 72% as a draw would be enough Let’s take a closer look..

Just by looking at the standings this bet and my probability estimation might seem weird but one of the key elements of profitable professional sports betting is not to be fooled by the standings, especially early season. Ranheim have indeed done well so far and have, as a result become massively over-valued on the betting market. They currently occupy the third place with 23 points in the bank – the same number of points Stabaek in the 2nd place have grabbed so far. Rainheim’s goal difference is 19:15. This is not particularly great for a top3 team.. Indeed, Stabaek’s have allowed just 6 goals and scored 18.. Ranheim have scored much more goals than they would have deserved this season in terms of expected goals (xG) and expected points as well. These are some of the most commonly used statistics by professional soccer bettors to estimate the teams’ true class and to find overlays. In their most match, for example, Ranheim crushed - result-wise – KFUM Oslo 4-1 at home and they were the better team but not by a wide margin. They had just 52% ball possession. Both teams recorded 9 shots on goal and the visitors even had more dangerous attacks! Before this they beat Asane 2-1 away from home, but this match easily could have been a draw. Furthermore, on the 29th of May they had quite a lot of luck to beat Fredrikstad 3-2 at home. Indeed, the visitors had much more scoring attempts and shots in goal. Kongsvinger have not been at their best yet so far, I must admit that, but have potential for much better performances, especially offensively. Their defense has been pretty solid though and they have conceded just one more goal than Ranheim. They did take a confidence-boosting win over start 1-0 away from home in their most recent match as massive underdogs according to the bookies. They did have some luck in this clash though, but on the other hand they have also been unlucky in many matches. Let’s also remember that they have lost just one of their latest five games at home.

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

在Kongsvinger的Gjemselund球场，Kongsvinger主场迎战Ranheim，挪威obos与ligaen的第12轮比赛。这是挪威足球的第二高水平和第一梯队的差距，是实质性的。这个联盟没有为足球爱好者提供很好的娱乐，但经常提供有利可图的赌博机会。作为一个整体，挪威足球正在崛起——他们的国家队最近进步了很多——这不仅要感谢年轻的超级球星Erling Håland!这增加了公众对精英联盟和这个联盟的兴趣。这里的主场优势不像英超的纽卡斯尔联队那么大，但我们仍然不应该低估这里的优势!在我看来，原始类的主机只比原始类稍微好一点。然而，在主场球迷面前，随着今天的预期阵容可用，孔文杰是最受欢迎的，并与他们的建议押注，与+0.5球的障碍选项的机会是72%的胜利，作为一个平局将是足够的让我们仔细看看。

单看排名，这个赌注和我的概率估计可能看起来很奇怪，但职业体育博彩盈利的一个关键因素是不要被排名欺骗，尤其是赛季初。迄今为止，Ranheim确实做得很好，因此在博彩市场上被严重高估。目前，他们以23分的积分排名第三，与排名第二的斯塔贝克目前所获得的积分相同。雷海姆的净胜球是19:15。这对一个前三的球队来说不是特别好。事实上，史塔贝克只丢了6球，进了18球。在本赛季的预期进球数和预期积分方面，兰海姆的进球数远远超过了他们本应该得到的。这些是职业足球投注者最常用的数据，用来估计球队的真实阶级，并找到重叠部分。例如，在他们最频繁的比赛中，兰海姆在主场4-1击败了奥斯陆KFUM，他们是更好的球队，但差距并不大。他们只有52%的控球率。两队都有9次射正，客队甚至有更危险的进攻!在此之前，他们在客场2-1击败了阿萨内，但这场比赛本来可以轻松平局。此外，在5月29日，他们在主场3-2击败了弗雷德里克斯塔德。事实上，客队有更多的射门和射门机会。孔斯文格目前还没有达到最佳状态，我必须承认这一点，但他有潜力取得更好的表现，尤其是在进攻端。他们的防守非常稳固，只比兰海姆多丢了一个球。根据博彩公司的说法，他们在最近的一场比赛中客场1-0战胜了开局，赢得了极大的信心。他们在这场比赛中运气不错，但另一方面，他们在很多比赛中也不走运。让我们也记住，他们在最近的五场主场比赛中只输了一场。