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外籍分析师
英国亚马逊员工,常年现场看各级别联赛,非常熟悉球队,有十多年经验盈利丰厚。
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Strong value in Allsvenskan today

2022-07-04

比赛分析

瑞超

已完赛

星期二2022-07-05 01:00

解读理由

In my opinion Degerfors have really good chances to make at least one point in today's match up.


Odds on IFK raised up by 0.15 from opening odds on big Asian markets with the highest possible limits and I fully agree with this trend.


In previous season Degerfors was able to win 3:2 at this stadium so they coming for this game with good mental advantage.


Before break Degerfors looked really awful at the back, but during the off time they worked really hard on defense and in first match after the break improvement was visible. Degerfors played at home against third AIK. Match finished with draw 1:1, but Degerfors deserved for something more: expected goals scored for Degerfors 2.19, for AIK 1.19. AIK conceded 15 goals in 13 league matches so far - that was also promising performance in attack. Degerfors don't have any new absences so their line up should look exactly the same like in match against AIK.


Without any shadow of doubt Marcus Berg is the best IFK player. 5 goals + 3 assists so he was involved in 8 of 13 IFK goals in current season. He not played in last round and he not trained with the team at the weekend so his participation is under big question mark. In last round IFK won on away against Sirius 2:1, but that wasn't deserved result at all: expected goals scored for Sirius 2.09, for IFK 1.49. They looked inconsistent at the back.


Degerfors is able to score at least one goal today, on the other hand if they continue to play on the same level in defense like in previous round - they should be able to avoid many goals conceded, especially if Berg is not fully fit.


Value for sure is on away side.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

在我看来,德格福斯真的有很好的机会在今天的比赛中至少拿到一分。

IFK的赔率比亚洲大市场开盘的赔率提高了0.15,我完全同意这个趋势。

在上个赛季,德格弗斯能够在这个球场3:2获胜,所以他们带着良好的心理优势来参加这场比赛。

在中场休息前,德格福斯的后场表现非常糟糕,但在休息时间,他们在防守上非常努力,在中场休息后的第一场比赛中,他们的进步是显而易见的。德格福斯在主场对阵第三支AIK。比赛以1:1结束,但德格福斯应该得到更多:德格福斯的预期进球为2.19,AIK为1.19。到目前为止,AIK在13场联赛中丢了15球,这也是很有希望的进攻表现。德格福斯没有任何新的缺阵,所以他们的阵容应该和对阵AIK的一模一样。

毫无疑问,马库斯·伯格是IFK最好的选手。5球+ 3助攻,所以他参与了本赛季IFK 13个进球中的8个。上一轮他没有上场,周末他也没有随队训练,所以他能否参加比赛还是个未知数。上一轮,IFK客场2:1战胜天狼星,但这根本不是应得的结果:天狼星的预期进球数为2.09,IFK为1.49。他们的背影看起来不一致。

德格福斯今天至少能进一个球,另一方面,如果他们继续像上一轮那样在防守上保持同样的水平,他们应该能避免很多失球,特别是如果伯格还没有完全康复的话。

价值肯定在一边。

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