I considered strongly to take -1.5 here, but as Jesus Navas is a doubt I changed my mind, as his output in offensively a great one. Hope he recovers from injury to make this task easier, but Lopetugui did not sound too hopeful in the press conference.

Sevilla last 7 games with xG look like this:

Good results, good perfomances, but most importantly Sevilla have gotten better in my eyes, and they are also comfortable winners in most of the matches. It is true that their current top striker En-Nesyri can not keep up the pace for the whole year, he has scored 12 goals from chances worth of 8, but they have a lot of other scoring options too especially when Papu Gomez also got his first touches in the cup win over Almeria. In fact Ocampos has almost equal goal expectation with En-Nesyri! Suso is always a danger also from outside the box with his inverting to the center and deadly shooting.

The squad situation is decent as cb Diego Carlos returns, and the rotated full-back Rekik has done ok in the left. Rakitic from the midfield is suspended and it is a bit unclear how coach Lopetequi will build this, I am hoping for a Gomez starting slot! Torres or Suso to give room?

Getafe were my idea of a team in form after the new players Kubo and Alena joined the club, but... here are the last 7 games:

The forementioned pair has been involved in last 4. Yes, there are two wins, but those were against the two weakest sides of the league. The trip to Bilbao ended in tears after taking the lead in the first minute, and the last match v Alaves was a match where records were broken. In the amount of faults it is, the pitch was a war zone and very bad PR for football. As a result it is a small wonder only midfielder Arambarri is suspended, but he is their key man in the middle and very difficult to replace. The soul and the heart of the team, also responsible for set pieces. There are half a dozen injuries or quarantines too, but not much change since last games apart from Arambarri.

Sevilla have won last 5 head to heads in La Liga, there is not much reason that record to change. In December Sevilla won 0-1 in Madrid, since that match Getafe miss at least 4 players while Sevilla have gotten only stronger in names and performances, and are now at home.

I would be a bit surprised of a Getafe goal here who usually are on their best in the matches that they should win, and all of their away points have vs teams who are suffering the most.

Sevilla will also have the first leg of the cup semifinals v Barcelona next week, but let us not overanalyze. This is for Sevilla to win.

2-0

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

我本强烈地认为塞维利亚大胜，但由于纳瓦斯上阵存疑，我改变了我的想法，因为他在进攻上的输出是伟大的。希望他能从伤病中恢复过来，让这个任务变得容易些，但洛佩图吉在新闻发布会上的表现并不乐观。

塞维利亚过去7场比赛的预期进球数数据如图1所示:

好成绩，好表现，但最重要的是塞维利亚在我看来变得更好了，他们在大多数比赛中也能轻松获胜。的确,他们当前的顶级前锋En-Nesyri全年不能跟上发展的步伐,他从价值机会的8次打进12球,但是他们也有很多其他的得分选择尤其是Papu戈麦斯也得到了他的第一个触摸杯战胜阿尔梅里亚。事实上，奥坎波斯对进球的期望几乎和恩尼西里一样高!苏索在禁区外也是个危险人物，他的倒向中锋和致命的射门。

球队的情况还不错，后卫迭戈·卡洛斯回来了，轮换的边后卫雷克在左路表现不错。中场拉基蒂奇被停赛了，现在还不清楚洛佩特基教练会怎么做，我希望戈麦斯能首发!托瑞斯或苏索让出位置?

在新球员久保和阿莱娜加入俱乐部后，赫塔菲是我心目中的一支状态良好的球队，但是……以下是最近的7场比赛:

上述两人已经参与了过去4年。是的，有两场胜利，但那是对阵联赛中最弱的两支球队。对阵毕尔巴鄂的比赛在第一分钟就取得领先，在最后一场对阵阿尔维斯的比赛中，记录被打破。从错误的数量来看，球场是一个战区，对足球来说是非常糟糕的公关。因此，只有中场阿拉姆巴里被禁赛也就不足为奇了，但他是他们中场的关键人物，很难被替换。球队的灵魂和心脏，也负责定位球。也有六人受伤或被隔离，但除了阿拉姆巴里以外，没有多少变化。

塞维利亚已经在西甲取得了最近5场的胜利，没有什么理由改变这个记录。去年12月，塞维利亚以0-1战胜马德里，此后赫塔费至少失去了4名球员，塞维利亚只在球员名单和表现上变得更强，现在在主场。

我对赫塔菲在这里进球感到有点惊讶，他们通常在比赛中处于最佳状态，而他们所有的客场积分都是对那些最痛苦的球队的。

塞维利亚也将在下周对阵巴塞罗那的半决赛中进行第一回合比赛，但我们不要过度分析。这是塞维利亚的胜利。

预测比分2:0。