AC Oulu vs VPS

AC Oulu welcome visitors from Vaasa for this Finnish Veikkausliiga battle at Raatin Stadion. This is the highest tier of my home country’s football and does not offer great entertainment – betting-wise it is a great league though! A balanced match is expected here between the hosts and VPS, who are a traditional Veikkausliiga club but were promoted to Veikkausliiga from Ykkönen for this season. Let’s take a closer look at the game..

The odds on VPS have been dropping quite a lot starting from yesterday on the betting market and now this odds movement has simply gone too far and my fans I have to place a bet on VPS +0.5 goals handicap. I am, of course, fully aware of the hosts’ far from optimal squad today but odds on the have risen too much. Midfielder Breitenmoser and defender Rafinha are out because of suspension while Moshtagh Yaghoubi’s situation is unclear at the time of writing this preview. He is very good player for this league – very skilled indeed – but does not always play for the team, but more for himself.. In my opinion, he is an overvalued guy. Koskela sekä defender Kallinen are also out because of injuries. AC Oulu have just bought Rasmus Karjalainen and Cristhian Valencia – very good players for this league but they cannot play today as the international transfer window is not open at the moment. Buying these new players is a good signal as it proves Oulu want the invest and really succeed this season! VPS too have absentees - key player Strandvall in the midfield as well as Vahtera and Nuutinen ovat are injured.

The hosts currently occupy the 5th place with 17 points in the bank an a pretty good goal difference – 17:15. The football media here in Finland has written a lot about Oulu not being as good as the standings reflect. This is, in fact, true – and the expected goals - and most importantly – expected points statistic prove this. These are some of statistics commonly used by professional football players. Even so, Oulu have played at a good, pretty consistent level this season in Veikkausliiga. In Finnish Cup they played a bad match on the 18th of June though against JäPS, who play in Ykkönen and lost 1-2 in Järvenpää but also had quite a lot of bad luck in this match. The media wrote a lot of negative things about Oulu after the match – even made fun of Oulu. It was, however, just one match.. In their most recent Veikkausliiga match, Oulu traveled to Kuopio and lost the second-best team in the league – KuPS 2-1 after a decent performance. The 2-1 final score was a justified one and Oulu were even leading at halftime. Before this Oulu took four good wins in Veikkausliiga – even beating the best team in this league, HJK Helsinki at Bolt Arena 1-0. They were not the better team but defended very well and showed they have a lot of potential! They also have a good team spirit and Oulu is never an easy place to play at.. The weather in Oulu is fine today so a good number of fans are expected to cheer for the hosts at the stadium. The visitors, on the other hand, are in the 8th place in the standings with 13 points in the bank and a goal difference of 21:15. They have been the biggest positive surprise in Veikkausliiga this season and would have deserved a little more points than the 13. However, I don’t quite understand the overly positive comments about their performances I have seen in the Finnish football media.. They have not faced any good teams lately other than Honka in Veikkausliiga lately. This match they lost 0-1 at home after a pretty balanced match. They did beat the rock-bottom team HIFK in Helsinki two weeks ago 5-1 but that does not excite me too much.. HIFK were a mess in this match but the match was much more balanced than the score would reflect.. Before this they beat a lowly IFK Mariehamn, and lost to Inter Turku. I do not see a favorite in this match so the odds on Oulu +0.5 goals are way too high!

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

这是我的祖国足球的最高水平，并没有提供很好的娱乐——尽管这是一个伟大的联赛!预计东道主和VPS之间将会有一场平衡的比赛，VPS是一个传统的维考斯利加俱乐部，但在本赛季从Ykkönen升到了维考斯利加。让我们仔细看看这场比赛。

从昨天开始，VPS的赔率在博彩市场上下降了很多，现在这种赔率的变化太过了，我的球迷们我不得不下注VPS +0.5个球的障碍。当然，我很清楚东道主今天的阵容远非最佳，但是夺冠的几率上升了太多。中场布雷滕莫泽和后卫拉菲尼亚因为停赛而缺阵，而亚古比的情况在撰写这篇预告时还不清楚。在这个联盟中，他是一名非常优秀的球员——确实技术非常好——但他并不总是为球队效力，而是更多地为自己效力。在我看来，他是一个被高估的人。科斯凯拉sekä后卫卡利宁也因伤缺阵。AC奥卢刚刚买入了拉斯穆斯-卡尔贾莱宁和克里斯蒂安-瓦伦西亚，这两名球员都是联赛中非常优秀的球员，但他们今天不能上场，因为目前国际转会窗口还没有打开。购买这些新球员是一个很好的信号，因为这证明奥卢想要投资，并在本赛季取得真正的成功!VPS也有缺阵——中场的关键球员斯特兰德瓦尔以及瓦赫特拉和努乌蒂宁·奥瓦特都受伤了。

东道主目前以17分的积分榜第五名，净胜球领先17分15秒。芬兰的足球媒体已经写了很多关于奥卢不如排名所反映的那么好。事实上，这是正确的——预期目标——最重要的是——预期得分统计数据证明了这一点。这是一些职业足球运动员常用的数据。即便如此，奥卢本赛季在维考斯利加的表现还是很不错，相当稳定。在芬兰杯，他们在6月18日与JäPS的比赛中打得很糟糕，后者在Ykkönen比赛，在Järvenpää 1-2输了，但在这场比赛中也有很多坏运气。媒体在赛后写了很多关于奥卢的负面报道，甚至取笑奥卢。然而，这只是一场比赛。在最近的一场维科斯利加的比赛中，奥卢来到库奥皮奥，在表现不错的情况下以2比1的比分输给了联盟第二好的球队。2-1的最终比分是合理的，半场结束时奥卢甚至领先。在此之前，奥卢在Veikkausliiga取得了四场胜利，甚至在博尔特竞技场1-0击败了这个联盟中最好的球队赫尔辛基HJK。他们不是更好的球队，但防守很好，显示出他们有很大的潜力!他们也有很好的团队精神，奥卢从来都不是一个容易踢球的地方。今天奥卢的天气很好，所以预计会有很多球迷在体育场为东道主加油。另一方面，客队以13分的银行积分和21:15的净胜球排名第8位。他们是本赛季维考斯利加最大的积极惊喜，应该比13分多一点。然而，我不太理解我在芬兰足球媒体上看到的那些对他们表现过于积极的评论。他们最近没有遇到过任何强队，除了在维卡斯利加的洪卡。在这场相当平衡的比赛之后，他们在主场0-1输了。两周前他们在赫尔辛基5-1击败了垫底的HIFK，但这并没有让我太兴奋。HIFK在这场比赛中一团糟，但比赛比比分所反映的要平衡得多。在此之前，他们击败了地位较低的IFK marihamn，并输给了Inter Turku。我在这场比赛中没有看到一个最喜欢的，所以奥卢+0.5个进球的几率太高了!