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芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
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Even more PROFIT from Finland? 芬超精选 洪卡vs玛丽港

2022-07-02

比赛分析

芬超

已完赛

星期六2022-07-02 20:00

解读理由

Honka Espoo VS IFK Mariehamn

Honka welcome visitors from Mariehamn for thisVeikkausliiga clash at Tapiolan urheilupuisto, Espoo, Saturday Beijing time. This is the highest tier of my home country's football, a league I know extremely well and on which my fans and I have reached great results betting on! This level is low by European standards - for better entertainment please watch for example MLS or Brazilian Serie A. There is a substantial difference in pure class. Indeed, here I will recommend a bet on the favorite - something I pretty rarely do. Indeed, Honka with a -1.5 goals handicap is to wise choice here. The chance for yet another winner is 47%. Let's take a closer look at this game..

Mariehamn is located on a small island called Åland, an autonomous island between Finland and neighboring Sweden. This means that traveling to and from Mariehamn is more time - and energy-consuming. IFK have a quite big home advantage and take most of their points at Wiklöf Holding Arena but struggle away from home year after year. This is something the betting market just keep underestimating.. Well, let's take advantage of yet another pricing mistake! IFK have lost four of their latest five matches away from home. The only in these matches was achieved at Bolt Arena on the 9th of April when "The Islanders" and HIFK Helsinki played a low-level match - it was a 1-1 draw. In April HIFK the rock-bottom team in Veikkausliiga even now, were a total mess as a team.. IFK Mariehamn have taken a few away wins in recent months but these were Finnish Cup matches and I would give very little emphasis on these results. On the 3rd of May they crushed FC Åland 6-0 - the match was actually played at Wiklöf Holding Arena. Åland play in Kolmonen, the fourth tier of Finnish football. A few weeks later, they beat EPS 3-0 in Espoo - this team play in Kakkonen, the third tier, were hardly any player is a pro footballer and some do not actually get paid any salaryl. In their most recent Veikkausliiga match, they traveled to Valkeakoski but were beaten by Haka, a mediocre team. They played close to their best level in this match but is still had to go home empty-handed after a 2-3 loss. This tell a lot - they are simply very limited, especially offensively,, for this level! Their odds seem to be affected here by the surprise win they took over the biggest team in this league - HJK Helsinki last at home. I recommended a bet with a +1.5 goals handicap was definitely quite surprised to see IFK winning - even considering the fact that HJK were missing many key players, had some internal problems and simply have not been at their best lately. The 2-1 win was not a deserved one though. HJK had 60%, recorded 4x more scoring attempts and also had a lot more attacks and dangerous attacks.

I have often written positive things about Honka and did, in fact, rate them higher than the betting market, football media and probably many of their fans in my preseason analysis. However, they have exceeded even my expectations and I have, as a result, raised their power rating that illustrates the teams' pure class as the season has progressed. After FC Inter’s most important player Benjamin Källman’s departure Honka clearly the third-best team in Veikkausliiga. In their most recent match, they were not at their best in Vaasa but still managed to grab a 1-0 win over VPS, the biggest positive surprise in this league so far this season. The match was expected to be very balanced by bookies and it indeed was. Honka are young team whose routine and overall level keeps improving constantly. They seem to be more and more confident on the pitch and also play tactically significantly better - more structured, especially in defense than last season - or even early season. A few weeks ago, they faced KuPS, the second-best team in this league by raw class at home and crushed the visitors as clear underdogs on the betting market - bringing my fans and me a super easy winner! The final score was 2-0 but could easily have been 3-0 or 4-1. Even KuPS's coach Simo Valakari had to admit that Honka completely outplayed his team in this match. An impressive show from Vesa Vasaras's talented young squad! Simo is an excellent coach and has a big role in Honka's improvement, the football media - and perhaps the bookies too - do not seem to give him the respect he would deserve.. The pitch in Tapiola is finally in good shape which is very important for Honka's skilled offensive players who love to pass to ball at a high tempo. IFK's defense will be under huge pressure by Honka boosted by loud home fans. A quick opening goal would not surprise. In this scenario IFK would have to take more offensive risks allowing Honka chances for counterattacks - probably resulting in the hosts winning by several goals' difference. In Mariehamn the teams played a 1-1 draw in April but Honka were the better team in this match.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

北京时间周六,埃斯波,在塔皮奥兰urheilupuisto球场,Honka欢迎来自玛丽汉姆的游客参加这场veikkausliiga比赛。这是我的祖国足球的最高水平,一个我非常了解的联赛,我和我的球迷都在这个联赛上投注了巨大的成绩!以欧洲标准衡量,这个水平是低的——为了更好的娱乐,请观看MLS或巴西意甲。在纯粹的等级上有很大的差异。事实上,在这里我将推荐一个关于最喜欢的项目的打赌——我很少这么做。事实上,洪卡与-1.5球的障碍是明智的选择在这里。再次胜出的几率是47%。让我们仔细看看这个游戏。

玛丽厄姆位于一个叫Åland的小岛上,这是芬兰和邻国瑞典之间的一个自治岛。这就意味着往返于玛丽厄姆要花费更多的时间和精力。IFK拥有相当大的主场优势,他们在Wiklöf Holding Arena获得了大部分的积分,但年复一年地在客场挣扎。这是博彩市场一直低估的。好吧,让我们利用另一个定价错误!IFK最近5场客场比赛输掉了4场。其中唯一一场比赛是4月9日在博尔特球馆举行的,当时“岛民”队和赫尔辛基HIFK队进行了一场低级别比赛,结果是1比1战平。4月HIFK在Veikkausliiga处于最底层,甚至现在也是一团糟。最近几个月,玛丽厄姆赢得了几场客场比赛,但这些都是芬兰杯的比赛,我不会太强调这些结果。5月3日,他们以6比0击败了FC Åland——这场比赛实际上是在Wiklöf Holding Arena进行的。Åland在科尔莫宁踢球,这是芬兰足球的第四等级。几周后,他们在埃斯波3-0击败了EPS -这支球队在卡克宁,第三级,几乎没有任何球员是职业足球运动员,一些人实际上没有得到任何薪水。在最近一场韦卡斯利加的比赛中,他们前往瓦尔基科斯基,但被一支平庸的球队哈卡击败。在这场比赛中,他们发挥出了接近最佳水平的水平,但仍然不得不在2比3的失利后空手而归。这说明了很多——他们只是非常有限,特别是在进攻端,对于这个级别!他们的胜算似乎受到了意外取胜的影响,他们在主场击败了本联赛最大的球队——赫尔辛基HJK。我推荐了一个有+1.5个进球障碍的打赌,看到IFK赢绝对是非常惊讶的-即使考虑到HJK缺少很多关键球员,有一些内部问题,而且最近没有处于最好的状态。然而,这场2-1的胜利并不是应得的。HJK有60%的得分,4倍的得分尝试,也有更多的攻击和危险的攻击。

我经常写一些关于Honka的正面评价,事实上,在我的季前赛分析中,我对他们的评价高于博彩市场、足球媒体,可能还有许多他们的球迷。然而,他们甚至超出了我的预期,因此,随着赛季的进展,我提高了他们的功率评级,这表明了球队的纯水平。在国米最重要的球员本杰明Källman离开后,洪卡显然是维考斯利加的第三好球队。在最近的一场比赛中,他们在瓦萨并没有处于最佳状态,但仍然1-0战胜了VPS,这是本赛季迄今为止联赛中最大的积极惊喜。赌徒们都希望这场比赛能保持平衡,事实也确实如此。宏卡是一支常规和整体水平不断提高的年轻团队。他们似乎在球场上越来越自信,战术也明显更好——更有组织,尤其是在防守上,比上赛季甚至比赛季初更好。几个星期前,他们在主场面对了本联赛第二好的球队- - - - - - - -在博彩市场上把客队打得一败涂地- - -给我和我的球迷带来了一个超级轻松的赢家!最终比分是2比0,但很可能是3比0或4比1。甚至连KuPS的教练Simo Valakari也不得不承认,Honka在这场比赛中完全击败了球队。维萨·瓦萨拉斯的才华横溢的年轻阵容给人留下了深刻的印象!西莫是一名优秀的教练,对洪卡的进步起到了很大的作用,足球媒体——也许还有博彩公司——似乎没有给他应有的尊重。塔皮奥拉的球场终于有了良好的状态,这对洪卡擅长高节奏传球的进攻球员来说是非常重要的。国际足球联合会的防守将受到洪卡的巨大压力,而洪卡的主场球迷也在大声呐喊。一个快速的开场进球并不令人惊讶。在这种情况下,IFK将不得不冒更大的进攻风险,让Honka有机会反击——可能导致东道主以数球之差获胜。今年4月,两队在马里厄姆1-1战平,但洪卡队在这场比赛中表现更好。

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