I waited with this bet until last moment because I wanted to see the latest odds movements and the most possible line ups for today's match up.

Odds on Londrina +1.5 AH raised up by 0.15 from opening odds on big Asian markets with the highest possible limits and now I see excellent value in this option.

Gremio is 4th and have 4 points more in league table than Londrina, but they played one match more so difference is really not so big. There is even departments where Londrina looks better than Gremio in current season so far: goals scored per game or shots on target per game.

In current season Londrina only once lost match with more than one goal margin - on away against strong Bahia. Currently they are in very good form - only one loss in last 5 matches, against 2nd Vasco 0:1 (Londrina had higher expected goals scored number is that game). In last round they recorded comfortable 3:1 win at home against Guarani and coming here full of confidence.

On the other hand Gremio scored only 5 goals in last 6 matches. Today they will play without important striker Elkeson. In addition to that their defensive formation is depleted, they will play without first goalkeeper Breno, defenders Kannemann and Edilson and midfielder Benitez.

On those circumstances for me is hard to see Gremio as a clear favorite. Londrina have chances to avoid big loss, at least.