The odds are more correct in China than elsewhere in the world where this is still seen as a 50/50 game.

Well, it is not, Alaves are the better team, with a positive managerial change impact, with a lot better injury situation, and even if there is no public they are at home. A place where the visiting Valladolid side have not won for more than 50 years in La Liga!

The new manager Abelardo came after the loss to Cadiz. A manager who had a positive spell at Alaves before.

Both are in a poor run, and at Alaves they reacted to it by getting a new manager Abelardo to save them from relegation. He has been in charge of 3 La Liga games now. Against Sevilla he was unlucky not to get something after a good performance, Real Madrid had one of their better days and were unbeatable, and in the Getafe match he was already desperate to get a result, which he got in the ugliest match of the season. If you want to put it more nicely there was a lot of fighting spirit!

Valladolid have been even worse, they have met 4 other relegation candidates recently and they have proved to belong to the relegation battle, again.

Valladolid have recently suffered from huge injury crisis, around 10 players have been sidelined and in the big picture the situation is unchanged, the latest addition to injury list is Guardiola. Tonight the list is shortened to 7 players, but 4 of them are defenders, as Raul Garcia, Jawad El Yamiq, Javi Sanchez and Kiko Olivas are out.

At Alaves injury list is shorter, the main problem has been the absence of one of two top strikers, Lucas Perez, perhaps for disciplinary reasons. Or a foot, or something. Tonight he hopefully starts.

As the transfer window is now closed there are no surprises to be expected. Alaves signed a winger Pellistri from Man Utd who is unknown and had no playing time in England, Valladolid got a striker Kodro from Bilbao, where he was stuck to the bench. A physical striker, but still their first choice tonight should be Weissman.

I have said it since last season that Valladolid should had been relegated. The same applies also to this season, but there are half a dozen teams worth a drop.

I am confident that there will be defensive mistakes at Valladolid which will be punished, but otherwise this is an even encounter which might once again turn physical and ugly. Alaves are about +45 % winners here.

2-0

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

阿拉维斯是一支更好的球队，有积极的管理变革的影响，有很多更好的伤病情况，即使没有观众，他们在主场。在这里，来访的巴拉多利德队在西甲联赛中已经有50多年没有在这里赢过球了!

新任主教练阿维拉多在输给加的斯队后上任。他以前在阿拉维斯有过积极的表现。

这两支球队的表现都很糟糕，而在阿拉维斯，他们的反应是聘请了新教练阿维拉多，让他们免于降级。他已经执教了3场西甲比赛。在对阵塞维利亚的比赛中，他表现出色却没有得到什么，这是他的不幸;皇家马德里的日子过得很好，而且是不可战胜的;在与赫塔菲的比赛中，他已经不顾一切地想要得到一个结果，他在本赛季最丑陋的比赛中得到了这个结果。如果你想把它说得更漂亮，有很多战斗精神!

巴利亚多利德的情况更糟，他们最近遇到了其他4个保级候选球队，他们再次证明了自己属于保级之战。

巴利亚多利德最近遭受了严重的伤病危机，大约有10名球员被停赛，总的来说情况没有改变，最新加入伤病名单的是瓜迪奥拉。今晚名单缩减到7人，但其中4人是后卫，劳尔·加西亚，贾瓦德·埃尔·亚米克，哈维·桑切斯和奇科·奥利瓦斯不在名单中。

在阿拉维斯的伤病名单更短，主要的问题是两名顶级前锋之一卢卡斯·佩雷斯的缺席，可能是纪律原因。或者一只脚什么的。今晚他希望能先发。

随着转会窗口的关闭，没有什么惊喜可以期待。阿尔维斯从曼联签下了一名不知名的边锋佩利斯特里，他在英格兰没有出场时间。巴拉多利德从毕尔巴鄂签下了一名前锋科德罗，但他在毕尔巴鄂只能坐在板凳上。一个身体强壮的前锋，但今晚他们的首选仍然是维斯曼。

我从上个赛季就说过巴拉多利德应该降级。同样的情况也适用于本赛季，但有六支球队值得下跌。

我相信在巴拉多利德会出现防守失误，这将会受到惩罚，但是如果不是这样的话，这将会是一场更加惨烈的对决。

预测比分2:0。