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芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
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The 7/8 picks WON run extends?

2022-06-28

比赛分析

阿甲

已完赛

星期二2022-06-28 07:00

解读理由

Atletico Tucuman VS Godoy Cruz



Atletico Tucuman welcome Godoy Cruz for this Argentinian Liga Profesional clash at Estadio Monumental Jose Fierro in Tucuman Tuesday morning Beijing time. This is a battle between two pretty lowly teams for this league with somewhat big differences between the teams – especially in terms of financial resources but also on the pitch. The betting market sees this match as more or less a coin toss without a favorite. I disagree and think that the visitors are solid favorites! They are undoubtedly the better team by raw class. The biggest difference in favor of the visitors is in offensive creativity and the strikers’ and other offensive players’ individual skill level. Indeed, Godoy Cruz found the net 23 times in Copa De La Liga Profesional that was played before this league started. Godoy Cruz finished in 11th place in Group B with a total of 16 points. They did, however, lose just four of the 14 matches. Tucuman also finished in 11th place, but they played in Group A and managed to win just two matches and grabbed just 11 points. Moreover, they had an abysmal goal difference 12:23. They have potential for a little better performances but today winning would probably mean that they would need to have some luck on their side..

The recommended bet on the visitors with the +0.5 handicap option has a 72% chance of winning. A draw would certainly not be a surprise as the hosts have been ineffective in offense scoring just three goals so far. We must also realize that today they are have a very long list of absentees: Andrada,Campisi,Heredia,Menendez and Ortiz are injured – Bolivian goalkeeper Lampe is out because of personal reasons. The visitors, on the other hand, are missing three players. Tucuman are not a very good home team and have lost quite a few matches at their stadium this year. The players have not looked confident on the pitch lately and very often make poor decisions when trying to create good-quality scoring chances. I expect their coach Pusineri to be pretty cautious here and instruct his men to at least try to avoid defeat against a more classy opponent.. In their most recent match, they lost to Independiente 0-1 at a neutral location in a cup match and were lame offensively – once again! Godoy Cruz, on the other hand, defeated a surprisingly dangerous team Defensa Y Justicia 2-1 at home after a solid performance and did indeed deserve the win. Let’s also remember that the hosts’ squad is valued at approximately 14 million euros, whilst the visitors’ players’ total market value is over 23 million.

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