In my opinion Goias have really good chances to avoid loss in today's match up.

Goias currently have excellent streak against Atletico as they won 5 matches in a row against them. Goias won last 3 consecutive matches to 'nil'. They won 1:0 last match between both teams at this staidum in May, big mental advantage on their side.

I believe Goias is extremely underrated in this match up because they lost last two matches in a row, but they had very hard schedule - they played against Corinthians and Internacional so two teams from current TOP4. Since end of the April Goias played 11 matches in all competitions and lost only 3 times against Corinthians, Internacional and title defender Flamengo (on away). They are not in bad form at all. Guests don't have any new absences so their line up should look exactly the same like in previous round.

On the other hand Atletico since middle of April played 14 matches in Brazilian competitions and they recorded only 4 wins - three of them against teams from bottom half of the table so for me is hard to see them as a so big favorite in big derby game today. Atletico have one new missing - their key striker Churin is unavailable today. It's huge blow for the team and should have bad impact on their performance today.

All in all, value for sure is on Goias. I don't see reasons to price hosts so low today.