IFK Mariehamn vs HJK Helsinki

IFK Mariehamn host HJK from Helsinki for this Veikkausliiga, the first tier of Finnish football, match at Wiklöf Holding Arena. HJK Helsinki are the best team in this league by pure class as I have written many times before. However, the +1.5 goals handicap for the home team is always big for and often worth a bet. This is the situation here as well and the chance of my fans and I winning the recommended bet is 66%. We will win as long as the hosts do not lose by more than one goal’s difference. Let’s take a closer look..

First of all, IFK Mariehamn are a better team than the standings suggest. They currently have seven points on the bank and are in the 11th place in this league of 12 teams. The heavily depend on their home matches and struggle on the road as I have mentioned before. They have good fans, but the main explaining factor is geography. Mariehamn is located in Åland, a small autonomous island between Finland and Sweden. Traveling from and to Åland is always energy-consuming. For the home fans this is the biggest match of the season! Beating the mighty HJK would be a dream for IFK’s fans! Football means a lot for the people of Åland and a great atmosphere is expected at the arena tonight. Let’s remember that the hosts even won the championship some years ago and have lost just one of their latest matches at home. The betting market under-estimates IFK Mariehamn’s home advantage once again!

Moreover, IFK Mariehamn played quite well in their most recent match against a decent team Haka away from home despite losing 2-3. The ball possession was almost 50-50% and IFK Mariehamn even recorded more scoring attempts, shots on goal and dangerous attacks. HJK on the other hand lost to AC Oulu at home 0-1 last weekend.. They were the better team though but were massively inefficient in offense. They were indeed far from their best and were priced around 1.30 to win on the betting market.. Very disappointing to say the least.. They would have to improve a lot to win by more than one goal here.. The situation for HJK is difficult at the moment. They had to sack one of their best players, Brazilian Jair, last week as he was found guilty in court for sexually harassing a 12-year-old girl back in 2016! The news shocked the team and the whole football community here in Finland and clearly affected HJK’s concentration on the pitch. They have numerous quality players in the squad but still the list absentees is (too) long going into this game: Miska Ylitolva, Valtteri Moren, Santeri Väänänen, Perparim Hetemaj and the Riski brother Roope and Riku are out due to injuries. Bojan Radulovic is out because of a red card he received against AC Oulu. Anthony Olusanya’s situation is unclear at the time of writing this.

玛丽港主场迎战来自赫尔辛基的 HJK，在 Wiklöf 举行的这场芬兰足球一级联赛 Veikkausliiga 比赛。正如我之前多次写过的那样，HJK 赫尔辛基是这个联盟中纯级别最好的球队。然而，对于主队来说，+1.5 的进球让分总是很大，而且通常值得下注。这也是这里的情况，我和我的粉丝赢得推荐投注的几率是 66%。只要东道主的失利不超过一球，我们就会赢。让我们仔细看看..

首先，玛丽港是一支比排名更好的球队。他们目前在银行积7分，在这个12支球队的联赛中排名第11位。正如我之前提到的，他们在很大程度上依赖于他们的主场比赛并在客场挣扎。他们有很好的粉丝，但主要的解释因素是地理位置。玛丽港位于芬兰和瑞典之间的一个小自治岛奥兰。往返奥兰总是耗能。对于主场球迷来说，这是本赛季最大的一场比赛！击败强大的 HJK 将是 IFK 粉丝的梦想！足球对奥兰人来说意义重大，预计今晚的竞技场会营造出良好的氛围。让我们记住，东道主甚至在几年前赢得了冠军，并且在主场仅输掉了一场最近的比赛。博彩市场再次低估了IFK玛丽港的主场优势！

此外，尽管 IFK 玛丽港以 2-3 输掉了比赛，但他们在最近一次客场对阵一支不错的球队 Haka 的比赛中表现相当出色。控球率几乎达到 50-50%，IFK 玛丽港甚至记录了更多的得分尝试、射门和危险进攻。另一方面，HJK 上周末在主场 0-1 输给了 AC Oulu。虽然他们是更好的球队，但在进攻方面效率非常低。他们确实远未达到最佳水平，在博彩市场上获胜的价格约为 1.30 .. 至少可以说非常令人失望.. 他们将不得不在这里以多于一球的优势取得了很大的进步。. HJK 目前的情况很困难。上周，他们不得不解雇了他们最好的球员之一巴西贾尔，因为他在 2016 年因性骚扰一名 12 岁女孩而在法庭上被判有罪！这一消息震惊了芬兰队和整个足球界，显然影响了HJK在球场上的注意力。他们的阵容中有许多优秀的球员，但缺席的名单仍然（太）长时间进入这场比赛：Miska Ylitolva、Valtteri Moren、Santeri Väänänen、Perparim Hetemaj 以及 Riski 兄弟 Roope 和 Riku 因伤缺席。博扬·拉杜洛维奇在对阵奥卢的比赛中被红牌罚下。在撰写本文时，Anthony Olusanya 的情况尚不清楚。