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芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
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More PROFIT from Finland?

2022-06-22

比赛分析

芬超

已完赛

星期三2022-06-22 23:00

解读理由

Inter vs Lahti

Inter host Lahti for this Finnish Veikkausliiga clash at Veritas Stadion in Turku. Neither team are in particularly good form at the moment result-wise but there is still a significant difference in pure class between the teams, especially in terms of offensive quality. Inter have one of the best players in this league, which is not, as I have mentioned before, of high quality by European standards but is a great league to bet on and we have made big profits betting on Veikkausliiga and won the latest pick (Honka +0.5 goals vs KuPS) last Saturday when the team from Espoo dominated KuPS with a 2-0 home win.

In the spring their most important player Benjamin KäIlman was rumored to transfer to HJK for next season but after playing very well for the Finnish national team in the UEFA Nations League and even scoring an extra-fine goal against a tough opponent, Bosnia and Herzegovina last week it has become very probable that he will continues his career abroad, playing for a lot bigger club than HJK. His market value according to a respected German website Transfermarkt.com is 400 000 euros at the moment, but this number is too low! This young and ultra-talented striker is a player to watch again today and should pose a big threat to FC Lahti’s quite shaky defense. Inter have another very good player, Petteri Forsell, by Veikkausliiga standards, in the squad. This skilled and creative guy played a fine career abroad, especially in Poland, and also for my country’s national team. I rate the hosts as clearly the 4th best team in my power ratings that illustrate the teams raw class. Lahti are in the 9th place in this rating. HJK are the best team followed by KuPS, Honka are 3th - the difference to Inter is not big. Inter are currently in the 5th place in the standings with 15 points in the bank are under-valued by the betting market at the moment, probably due to winning just one of their latest five matches in Veikkausliiga. They did however, beat the mighty HJK in Helsinki 4-1 early season! The potential is huge, but I must admit that Inter are not as solid a team as HJK, KuPS and Honka..

In their most recent match Inter faced the 5th best team in this league, SJK from Seinäjoki away from home and it was a 1-1 draw. Inter were, however, the better team despite the hosts having 56% ball possession. Inter recorded 13 scoring attempts – SJK had seven. They also had seven shots on target – the hosts had just three. Inter defended well but did not have the best day offensively. Even so, they recorded clearly more than the hosts in expected goals! Before this match they did defeat the same opponent, also in Seinäjoki, 2-1 through penalties in a Finnish Cup match. We must also remember that Inter have not faced any lowly opponents in Veikkausliiga recently.. FC Lahti, on the other hand, have declined significantly from the early season and have dropped to 9th place in the standings and have just nine points in the bank. They also have a bad goal difference – 11:19. They have lost three of their latest Veikkausliiga matches and the biggest problems are in defense. Away from home they very rarely take points from the best teams. They were bad in their most recent match away from home against Ilves despite the seemingly narrow 2-3 loss. Ilves are a mediocre team and Lahti should improve a lot to avoid defeat today. Inter are big favorites!


图尔库国际将在图尔库的 Veritas Stadion 主场迎战芬兰的 Veikkausliiga 比赛。两支球队目前的状态都不是特别好,但两支球队之间的纯粹水平仍然存在显着差异,尤其是在进攻质量方面。国际拥有这个联赛中最好的球员之一,正如我之前提到的那样,按照欧洲标准来说,这并不是一个高质量的球员,但它是一个值得投注的伟大联赛,我们在 Veikkausliiga 的赌注中获得了巨额利润,并赢得了最新的选秀权(上周六,来自埃斯波的球队在主场以 2-0 的比分战胜了 KuPS,Honka +0.5 个进球对 KuPS。

春季他们最重要的球员本杰明·凯尔曼被传言下赛季将转会到HJK,但在欧洲国家联赛中为芬兰国家队打得非常出色,甚至在对阵强硬的对手波斯尼亚和黑塞哥维那的比赛中打进了一个超精细的进球。本周,他很可能会在国外继续他的职业生涯,为更大的球队效力俱乐部比HJK。根据一家受人尊敬的德国网站 Transfermarkt.com,他目前的市值为 40 万欧元,但这个数字太低了!这位年轻且极具天赋的前锋是今天值得再次关注的球员,应该会对 FC Lahti 相当不稳定的防守构成巨大威胁。图尔库的阵容中还有另一位非常出色的球员,佩特里·福塞尔,按照韦考斯利加的标准。这个技术娴熟、富有创造力的家伙在国外表现出色,尤其是在波兰,也为我国的国家队效力。在我的实力评级中,我清楚地将东道主评为第 4 佳球队,这说明了球队的原始等级。拉赫蒂在该评级中排名第 9。 HJK是最好的球队,其次是KuPS,Honka排名第三——与国米的差距不大。国际目前在积分榜上排名第 5,积 15 分目前被投注市场低估,这可能是由于他们最近在韦考斯利加的五场比赛只赢了一场。然而,他们确实击败了强大的 HJK赫尔辛基 4-1 赛季初!潜力是巨大的,但我必须承认,国米不像HJK、KuPS和Honka那样稳固。

在最近的一场比赛中,图尔库客场对阵联赛排名第5的塞纳约基SJK球队,双方战成1-1平。然而,尽管主队拥有 56% 的控球率,但国际米兰是更好的球队。图尔库记录了 13 次得分尝试——SJK 有 7 次。他们也有 7 次射正目标——东道主只有 3 次。图尔库防守很好,但在进攻端并没有表现出最好的一天。即便如此,他们的预期进球数也明显超过了主队!在这场比赛之前,他们确实在芬兰杯比赛中通过点球2-1击败了同一个对手,同样是在塞纳约基。我们还必须记住,图尔库最近在韦卡乌斯里加没有遇到任何低级对手。另一方面,FC拉赫蒂与赛季初相比大幅下滑,在积分榜上跌至第 9 位,仅积 9 分。他们也有一个糟糕的目标差异 - 11:19。他们最近输掉了三场Veikkausliiga比赛,最大的问题在于防守。在客场,他们很少从最好的球队拿分。他们在最近一次客场对阵伊尔维斯的比赛中表现不佳,尽管看似以 2-3 惨败。伊尔维斯是一支平庸的球队,拉赫蒂应该提高很多以避免今天的失败。图尔库国际是大热门!

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