In my opinion odds on Gamba are simply too high. They deserve to be much bigger favorite in this game than bookies wants to suggest for us in their odds. +0 AH (draw no bet) on Gamba looks like excellent value.

Gamba played 9 matches in past against Oita and they lost only once (5 wins in the process). I see continuation of this solid streak today.

Oita in previous been relegated from J1 in previous season and that was painful. Obviously, their biggest goal for current season is to get promotion into J1, but at the moment they are 4 points behind play off zone. I'm not sure about their motivation for today's match.

On the other hand Oita in last edition of Emperor's Cup played on big final against Urawa. What changed since then? Their coach Tomohiro Katanosaka left the club and now he is coach of.. GAMBA! He knows their weak sides and this is enormous advantage for Gamba before today's game.

Gamba is just above relegation zone in J1, but in previous round they used solid line up against lower league opponents and I expect same story today. They wants to win here to get momentum for upcoming league matches.

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

在我看来，大阪钢巴的胜算实在太高了。在这场比赛中，选择大阪钢巴不败很有价值。

在过去的9场比赛中，大阪钢巴只输了1场(5场胜利)。我认为今天这种稳定的势头会继续下去。

大分在前一个赛季从J1降级，这是痛苦的。显然，他们本赛季最大的目标是升级到J1，但目前他们还落后4分。我不确定他们对今天比赛的动机。

另一方面，大分在上一届天皇杯决赛中对阵浦和。从那以后发生了什么变化?他们的教练Katanosaka Tomohiro离开了俱乐部，现在他是…大阪钢巴!他知道他们的弱点，这是大阪钢巴在今天比赛前的巨大优势。

在J1，大阪钢巴只是在降级区之上，但在上一轮他们使用了稳定的阵容来对抗低级别联赛的对手，我希望今天的情况也一样。他们想在这里获胜，为即将到来的联赛获得动力。