In my opinion Sao Paulo have really good chances to make at least one point in today's match up.

Sao Paulo in overall have solid record against Palmeiras as they didn't lost in 25 of last 41 matches against them. Sao Paulo current streak at home against Palmeiras looks impressive - they didn't lost in 7 of last 8 home matches against them. In previous season Sao Paulo won here 3:1.

Sao Paulo is extremely hard to beat at home - they lost only 8 of last 62 league matches at home. 4 wins and one draw in current season with impressive 11:4 goals balance. Of course, Palmeiras in current season won 3 of 5 away matches, but if You look on bigger picture - they failed to win in 36 of last 62 away Serie A matches, it's not so impressive.

Palmeiras results on away in current season looks better than really should. They conceded only one goal, but according to the expected goals scored model they should concede 6.42! It's enormous difference.

Sao Paulo coming to this game with very strong line up, without any new absences. On the other hand Palmeiras have one new big missing - key midfielder Ze Rafael is suspended (he scored a goal in last round). In addition to that they are still without key offensive midfielder Veiga (1 goal & 3 assists) and key right defender Rocha (2 assists).

Obviously, Palmeiras didn't lost in 18 consecutive matches in all competitions, but in last away matches against Santos and Coritiba they not looked so impressive - expected goals scored numbers wasn't much higher than opponents (2.05 against 1.80 and 1.24 against 0.78).

I feel like Sao Paulo is underrated because of their last round loss 0:1 on away against Botafogo, but before that game Rogerio Ceni team had streak of 15 matches without a loss. They really good enough to make at least one point today.

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在我看来，圣保罗真的有很好的机会在今天的比赛中取得至少一分。

总的来说，圣保罗在对阵帕尔梅拉斯的比赛中战绩不错，他们在过去的41场比赛中有25场没有输球。圣保罗目前在主场对阵帕尔梅拉斯的连胜看起来令人印象深刻——他们在过去8场主场对阵帕尔梅拉斯的比赛中有7场没有输。在上个赛季，圣保罗在这里3:1获胜。

在主场击败圣保罗是非常困难的，他们在过去62场联赛中只在主场输掉了8场。本赛季4胜1平，11比4的进球数。当然，帕尔梅拉斯在本赛季5场客场比赛中赢了3场，但如果你从更大的角度看——他们在最近62场意甲客场比赛中36场都没赢，这就不那么令人印象深刻了。

帕尔梅拉斯本赛季的客场成绩看起来比实际情况要好。他们只丢了一个球，但根据预期的得分模型，他们应该丢6.42球!这是巨大的差别。

圣保罗带着非常强大的阵容来到这场比赛，没有任何新的缺阵。另一方面，帕尔梅拉斯又缺了一个重要球员——关键中场拉斐尔停赛(他在上轮打进一球)。除此之外，他们仍然缺少关键的进攻中场维加(1球3助攻)和关键的右后卫罗查(2助攻)。

显然，帕尔梅拉斯在各项赛事中没有连续18场输球，但在最近客场对阵桑托斯和科里蒂巴的比赛中，他们看起来并没有那么令人印象深刻——预期进球数并不比对手高多少(2.05比1.80和1.24比0.78)。

我觉得圣保罗被低估了，因为他们在上一轮客场0:1输给博塔弗戈，但在那场比赛之前，罗杰里奥·塞尼的球队已经连续15场比赛没有输球。它们真的很好，今天至少能说明一点。