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芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
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More profit from Finland?

2022-06-18

比赛分析

芬超

已完赛

星期六2022-06-18 20:00

解读理由

Honka vs KuPS

Honka welcome visitors all the way from Kuopio for this top-match of the Finnish Veikkausliiga today. The home advantage is not as substantial in Veikkausliiga as in many other European leagues but it is still a factor that needs to be taken into account - especially when the visiting team has a many hours' travel to tire them them. Moreover, Honka do not have the biggest number of home fans supporting at Tapiolan Urheilupuisto but there are some 300 very enthusiastic and loud, mainly young fans to cheer for their team! The summer has finally really started here in Finland and the pitch is finally in good shape with is important for Honka's style of play - they aim at playing fast football with short passing. Football fans can expect a high-level match to watch by Veikkausliiga standards - which of course is not that high by European standards though. KuPS top the standings with a total of 26 points in the bank and are currently in a unbeaten run of a whopping 32 matches in this league! That is of course a great achievement but they have had plenty of luck on their side and did not lift the trophy at the end of last season. Indeed, HJK, the reigning champions took the championship last autumn and are in reality the best team in Veikkausliiga at the moment too. This could clearly be seen some three weeks ago when the teams met at Väre Areena in Kuopio. It was a 0-0 draw and HJK were the more dominant team on the pitch creating more in expected goals and keeping KuPS's quality scoring chances to a minimum despite the hosts having a 58% ball possession. KuPS are of course the second best team in this league but Honka are definitely the third-best team and are once again under-valued by the betting market. They currently have 17 points in the bank but have had bad luck in many matches. They are extremely slim favorites in this match and my fans and I have a great chance of winning the +0.5 goals handicap bet on them as a draw would be enough.

KuPS were not good in their most recent match in Finnish Cup beating a lowly MP from Mikkeli who play in Ykkönen only 1-0 away from home. Their attacking seemed to lack structure and creativity. They would have to improve to beat a young and very talented Honka today. Honka have lost just two matches in Veikkausliiga this season and won all expect for one at home In their most recent match they defeated HIFK 2-1 away from home - a solid performance. Honka's promising coach Vesa Vasara has been able to improve his team's level a lot from the disappointing last season - as I predicted on my analysis ahead of the season opener when Honka faced the mighty HJK. They played well already on the match despite the 0-1 loss and a draw would not have been unjustified. KuPS too have an excellent coach, Simo Valakari. He is a smart and down to earth kind of guy and has not been fully satisfied with his team's performances lately. They are not creating enough scoring chances, especially against top6 teams,to fight for the championship..

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

Honka欢迎从库奥皮奥远道而来的游客观看今天芬兰Veikkausliiga的顶级比赛。在维考斯利加,主场优势不像其他欧洲联赛那么明显,但这仍然是一个需要考虑的因素——特别是当客队有很多小时的旅行使他们感到疲劳的时候。此外,Honka在乌海路普伊斯托球场并没有最多的本土球迷支持,但有300多名非常热情和大声的球迷,主要是年轻球迷为他们的球队加油!芬兰的夏天终于开始了,球场的状态终于很好,这对洪卡的比赛风格很重要——他们的目标是短传快速足球。足球迷们可以期待一场以维考斯利加标准来观看的高水平比赛——当然,以欧洲标准来衡量,维考斯利加的标准并没有那么高。up以26分的总得分高居榜首,目前在这个联盟的32场比赛中保持不败!这当然是一个伟大的成就,但他们运气很好,上赛季末没有举起冠军奖杯。事实上,卫冕冠军HJK在去年秋天获得了冠军,实际上也是目前Veikkausliiga最好的球队。这可以清楚地看到大约三周前,当两队在库奥皮奥Väre Areena相遇。这是一场0-0的平局,HJK是球场上更有统治力的球队,创造了更多的预期进球,尽管东道主有58%的控球率,但HJK把高质量的得分机会保持在了最低水平。up当然是联盟中第二好的球队,但Honka绝对是第三好的球队,并且再次被博彩市场低估了。他们目前拥有17分,但在许多比赛中运气不佳。他们在这场比赛中是非常微弱的热门,我和我的球迷有很大的机会赢得+0.5个球的差点,因为平局就足够了。

在芬兰杯最近的一场比赛中,KuPS表现不佳,他们击败了来自米凯利的低级别MP,后者在Ykkönen比赛中客场仅1-0。他们的进攻似乎缺乏结构和创造力。他们必须提高才能在今天击败一个年轻而有天赋的洪卡。Honka本赛季在Veikkausliiga只输了两场比赛,但在最近的一场比赛中,他们在客场2-1击败了HIFK,这是一个稳定的表现。洪卡有前途的教练维萨·瓦萨拉已经能够从令人失望的上个赛季中提高他的球队的水平——正如我在赛季开幕前洪卡面对强大的HJK时的分析中预测的那样。他们在比赛中发挥得很好,尽管0-1输了,平局也不是不合理的。KuPS也有一位优秀的教练,西莫·瓦拉卡里。他是一个聪明又接地气的家伙,他对球队最近的表现并不完全满意。他们没有创造足够的得分机会,尤其是对前6强球队,来争夺冠军。

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