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英国亚马逊员工,常年现场看各级别联赛,非常熟悉球队,有十多年经验盈利丰厚。
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Big info - it's best bet for today! 美职:新英格兰VS奥兰多

2022-06-15

比赛分析

美职足

已完赛

星期四2022-06-16 07:30

解读理由

In my opinion Orlando have really good chances to make at least one point in today's match up.


The main reason of my bet here is departure of Polish striker Adam Buksa - he is just about to leave New England Revolution and in new season he will play in Ligue 1, for Lens. It's huge blow for the team and should have very bad impact on hosts performance today.


In 2021 New England won 2:1 at home against Orlando and had draw 2:2 on away - Buksa scored 3 of 4 New England goals in those matches! Obviously, Buksa was team top scorer in the previous season. Same story in current campaign. Buksa scored 7 goals in last 8 New England Revolution MLS matches (!).


New England not looking convincing so far as they won only 3 of 7 home matches. In current season they scored 24 goals, but according to the expected goals scored model they should scored 21.1. Without Buksa I see big drop of quality upfront for them.


Orlando don't have big problems with goalscoring - in current season they played already 17 matches and only twice they failed to score. Currently they have streak of 7 consecutive matches with at least one goal. New England so far kept only two clean sheets (only Montreal have less (1) in whole league).In addition to that New England Revolution first goalkeeper Turner also will leave the club soon and he will not play today. Hosts conceded at least one goal in last 7 matches in a row and I see continuation of this streak today.


Orlando is solid at the back - they kept clean sheet already 6 times in current season and only one team in whole league have better number in that department: NYCFC have 8 clean sheets.


I believe Orlando is able to score at least one goal today and that should be enough to make at least one point because I don't see easy goals for New England without a Buksa.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

在我看来,奥兰多真的有很好的机会在今天的比赛中至少拿到一分。

我打赌的主要原因是波兰前锋亚当·布克萨的离开——他即将离开新英格兰革命,在新赛季他将为伦斯效力于法甲。这对球队是一个巨大的打击,应该会对东道主今天的表现产生非常糟糕的影响。

2021年,新英格兰主场2:1战胜奥兰多,客场2:2战平——布萨在这些比赛中攻入了新英格兰4球中的3球!显然,巴克萨在上个赛季是球队的最佳射手。在当前的竞选中也是如此。布克萨在最近8场新英格兰革命MLS比赛中打进7球(!)

新英格兰队看起来不太有说服力,他们在7场主场比赛中只赢了3场。本赛季他们进了24球,但按照预期进球数模型,他们应该进21.1球。没有Buksa,我看到他们的前期质量有很大的下降。

奥兰多在进球方面没有太大的问题——在本赛季他们已经打了17场比赛,只有两次没有进球。目前,他们已经连续7场比赛至少打进1球。到目前为止,新英格兰只有两场不失球(只有蒙特利尔在全联盟只有1场)。除此之外,新英格兰革命第一门将特纳也将很快离开俱乐部,他今天不会出场。东道主在最近7场比赛中至少丢了一个球,今天我看到了这种连胜的延续。

奥兰多在后防线上很稳固——他们本赛季已经有6次不失球了,全联盟只有一支球队在这方面有更好的数据:纽约骑士队有8次不失球。

我相信奥兰多今天至少能进一个球,这应该足够拿到至少一分了,因为我不认为没有巴克萨的新英格兰能轻易进球。

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