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芬兰人,有自己投注模型,公开记录的2136场比赛场均盈利率超10%
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Ykkönen top match! 芬甲:科特卡VS格尼斯坦

2022-06-15

比赛分析

芬甲

已完赛

星期三2022-06-15 23:30

解读理由

Top match at 2nd highest tier Ykkönen. KTP from Kotka are traditionally a strong home team who regularly also play in the highest league, Veikkausliiga. Gnistan are one of dozens of Helsinki-based small clubs who mostly are known as a big youth club without any success in national level.

KTP have suffered in front of the attacking goal, mostly due to the fact they have missed Spanish striker Mika and they have little other classy options, Gnistan have scored 22 goals in their 8 games but it has to be remembered that they scored 10 vs JäPS, in one bizarre game! If we omit that one the record looks completely different.

Gnistan have played only 3 away games so far so it is too early to make any conclusions. All of the 3 have been to same area rather far away from Helsinki, and they have a 2-0-1 saldo out of these, including a 4-0 loss to SJK Academy! Looking at all of their last Ykkönen games they have won 4 out of 5 and that is naturally respectable run, but I would like to stress out that there were all promoted 3 teams PIF, PEPO and JäPS in that run and it might be somewhat misleading.

KTP at home are 2-2-0, the draws coming vs another promotion favourite TPS and EIF, and despite dominating the matches in general it has been obvious that they are not on their best in slow attacks against well-formed defenses,

why I like them today is that Gnistan like to build carefully from the defense and they try to keep the ball at all occasions, and they are very vulnerable to the high pressure KTP is going to apply today!

All in all there is no dramatic team news to report from latest rounds.

A draw is always an option under these circumstances where there is not much class-difference and the match is expectedly a low-scoring one, but I believe in KTP aggressive high pressure today, and the home odds offer value as KTP are + 45% home favourites today.

2-1


芬甲的比赛。科特卡传统是一支主场很强大的球队,经常会出现在顶级联赛中。格尼斯坦是赫尔辛基几十个小俱乐部之一,这些俱乐部大多被称为大型青年俱乐部,但在联赛中没有取得任何成功。

科特卡在进攻门前的表现很糟糕,主要是因为他们缺少了西班牙前锋米卡,而且他们没有其他优秀的替补,格尼坦在8场比赛中打进了22球,但必须记住的是,他们在一场很奇怪的比赛中打进了10球!如果我们忽略这一场比赛,数据就看起来完全不同。

到目前为止,格尼斯坦只打了3个客场比赛,所以现在下结论还为时过早。这3场都去过同一个地方,离赫尔辛基相当远,包括0- 4输给了SJK学院!他们在5场比赛中赢了4场,这自然是值得尊敬的,但我想强调的是,其中有3支新升级球队的PIF, PEPO和JäPS,这可能有点误导。

科特卡主场战绩为2胜2平,平局是对阵另一个升级热门TPS和EIF,尽管总体上统治了比赛,但很明显,他们在慢速进攻上并没有发挥出最好的水平,而对手则是防守良好的球队。

我今天支持他们的原因是,格尼斯坦喜欢首先巩固防守,他们在任何情况下都试图守住球权,在科特卡今天施加的高压面前,他们非常脆弱!

最近几轮没有什么戏剧性的球队新闻。

在这种没有太大实力差距的情况下,平局总是一个选择,而且比赛预计会是一场低分的比赛,但我相信科特卡今天有侵略性的高压,选择主队很有价值,今天科特卡赢球的概率约为45%。

比分参考2-1

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