NORWAY - SLOVENIA

Norway is at the top of the group after two victories against Sweden and Serbia. Maybe they were a bit lucky in those games, but they deservedly won in my opinion.

They have a very strong team and squad. Are improving a lot lately, sitting now 41th in the FIFA Ranking. Obviously there will be some rotations here but they have a much better team than Slovenia and should beat them easiIy.

The main reason for this pick is in Slovenia. They made very poor performances against Sweden and Serbia, lost both games (4:1 and 0:2) and were totally outplayed. Furthermore, their head coach Kek stayed at home and did not travel due to covid.

Their squad is very poor, with a huge lack of quality for the League B of the Nations League, and their motivation in this tournament is very low. I’d even say that they are the worst team in the League B of this tournament, according to their squad and performances.

They struggled a lot against goos team (top 50 in FIFA Ranking), where lost all games played against them since 2019 with just the exception of a victory against Croatia few months ago.

Norway just needs to be at the same level as previous games against Serbia and Sweden. They deservedly beat both of them, who destroyed Serbia winning by at least a 2 goals margin. So it should be even easier for Norway at home, even with some rotations.

SWITZERLAND - SPAIN

Very important game for both.

Switzerland made a very poor Nations League after a fantastic Eurocup past summer. They suffered two defeats in their two games: were outplayed by Portugal (4:0) and lost against Czech Republic 2:1.

Their main difference is their defense: are conceding much more chances and goals, while in the Eurocup they were a very solid team and hard to beat. But this is something that can’t be changed in just a couple of days, from one game to another.

On the other hand, Spain had two draws with worrying performances. Like Switzerland, they made a great Eurocup but in this tournament they are leaving a lot of doubts in their football and both areas. In attack, they have a lack of goal, while in defense they are conceding chances and goals due to the lack of intensity. But also because Eric Garcia is a very weak player.

Spain is struggling especially against defensive teams, when they need to create chances against defenses of 8-9 players and then have to stop counters, which is their weak point. They are strong against a team who leaves more spaces at the back and allows them to play fast football.

And that's the point of this pick. Switzerland is playing at home and is forced to win, so I’m expecting them to be a bit offensive here and leave spaces. This is very good for Spain, who will face for the first time in this tournament a team who won’t play very defensive (as Portugal and Czech Republic did). Spain will be able to play fast football, create counters and take advantage of their quality of moving the ball fastly, as they did in their best performances recently.

Spain needs the victory here and I believe that they will achieve it. Are a much better team and have much more quality than Switzerland.

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

挪威-斯洛文尼亚

在两次战胜瑞典和塞尔维亚之后，挪威目前在小组第一。也许他们在那些比赛中有点幸运，但在我看来他们理应获胜。

他们有一支非常强大的球队和阵容。最近进步很大，现在在国际足联排名第41位。显然这里会有一些轮换，但他们的球队比斯洛文尼亚强得多，应该能轻松击败他们。

这一排名的主要原因是在斯洛文尼亚。他们在对阵瑞典和塞尔维亚的比赛中表现非常糟糕，两场比赛都输了(4:1和0:2)，完全被打败了。此外，他们的主教练凯克因为新冠肺炎呆在家里，没有旅行。

他们的阵容非常糟糕，在国家联赛的B级联赛中，他们的水平非常低，他们在这项赛事中的积极性也非常低。根据他们的阵容和表现，我甚至可以说他们是本次联赛乙级最差的球队。

他们在与goos队(国际足联排名前50)的比赛中非常艰难，自2019年以来，goos队输掉了与他们的所有比赛，只有几个月前战胜了克罗地亚。

挪威只需要和之前对阵塞尔维亚和瑞典的比赛保持同样的水平。他们当之无愧地击败了这两支球队，后者以至少2球的优势摧毁了塞尔维亚的胜利。所以挪威在主场应该会更容易，即使有一些轮换。

瑞士VS西班牙

这对双方都很重要。

去年夏天，瑞士在欧洲杯上的表现非常出色。他们在两场比赛中遭遇了两场失利:被葡萄牙(4:0)击败，并以2:1输给了捷克。

他们的主要区别在于防守:丢掉更多的机会和进球，而在欧洲杯上他们是一支非常坚固的球队，很难被击败。但这是不可能在短短几天内改变的，从一场比赛到另一场比赛。

另一方面，西班牙有两场平局，表现令人担忧。像瑞士一样，他们在欧洲杯上取得了伟大的成绩，但在这次比赛中，他们在足球和两方面都留下了很多疑问。在进攻端，他们缺乏进球，而在防守端，他们因为缺乏强度而失去机会和进球。但也因为埃里克·加西亚是个很弱的球员。

西班牙在面对防守球队时尤其困难，他们需要在8-9人的防守下创造机会，然后不得不停止反击，这是他们的弱点。他们在面对一个能在后腰留下更多空间，让他们踢得更快的球队时很强大。

这就是这个选择的意义所在。瑞士队是在主场比赛，他们被迫赢球，所以我希望他们在这里有一点进攻性，并留下空间。这对西班牙来说是件好事，他们将在本届杯赛中第一次面对一支防守能力不强的球队(就像葡萄牙和捷克那样)。西班牙将能够踢出快速足球，创造反击，并利用他们的快速移动球的质量，就像他们最近最好的表现一样。

西班牙需要在这里取得胜利，我相信他们会实现的。他们是一支更好的球队，比瑞士队更有实力。