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First encouter ever! 历史上第一次交手

2022-06-07

比赛分析

欧国联

已完赛

星期三2022-06-08 00:00

解读理由

This in an interesting setup, as the teams have never met, and on the other hand they are in a heavy schedule and would need to rotate, but at both teams the quality drops significantly when the bench players are starting!

Last week Finland hosted Bosnia-Hertzegovina, those teams have met several times over the recent years and there were no surprises. Bosnia equalized on extra time, but it was more or less deserved.

Montenegro however produced an excellent performance at home vs strong Romanian side, won deservedly by 2-0 even if they played without their two biggest stars Savic and Jovetic. The Hertha Berlin striker Jovetic is also today a doubt,

Finland have the same problem ahead as always. The starting lineup is a decent one, but even one or two changes weaken it badly. After last season 3 backbones of the team have retired the team, centre-backs Arajuuri and Toivio, and midfielder and captain Sparv. Younger players are taking over those new positions,and although they are doing fine it means the bench is getting only weaker as there is no depth.

Finland have a reputation on being hard to beat, especially at home, but a look at recent home results reveal another story. Out of last 9 home games Finland have won only one, a 1-0 v Kazahstan!

Against Bosnia Finland started like this:

As soon as Schuller was substituted to Lam the problems arose, and he is not fully fit today either so change there is likely. Another new players in today are striker Pohjanpalo who had an excellent season in Turkey, and possibly keeper Joronen as Hradecky deserves a break too, as well as midfielder Kamara. There are two more matches next week!

Montenegro coach Radulovic promised a lot of changes to his team after the win over Romania as for them the next match v Bosnia is mentally a lot more important affair. Under these circumstances the lineup is impossible to predict, but for example Jovetic might jump in so all in all the lineup will not be totally helpless, and even if Montenegro are still narrowly behind Finland in UEFA rankings they do have more valuable players available.

This was their last lineup:


Attacking-wise the key man is Djurgården's Haksabanovic and I trust him to keep his place, but for the others we can only make guesses which are not worth much. However it is going to be a 4-4-2, crosses from the width are an essential part and the new centre backs of Finland might sufffer, and if they need to build are more slowly there is threat of long shots by Haksabanovic.

As a conclusion this looks like a very affair, but I believe in the individual attacking players the decide this. It might be Pohjanpalo is he is properly fed - possibly not if Schuller and/or Lod are out - but I put my trust in Jovetic and Haksabanovic.

1-2


这是一个有趣的对决,因为两支球队从未见过面,另一方面,他们的日程安排很繁重,需要轮换,但当替补球员开始时,两支球队的质量都会显着下降!

上周芬兰迎战波黑,这些球队近年来已经多次相遇,并没有什么意外。波斯尼亚在加时赛中扳平了比分,但这或多或少是应得的。

然而,黑山在主场对阵强大的罗马尼亚队时表现出色,即使他们没有两个最大的球星萨维奇和约维蒂奇,他们也以 2-0 的比分取得了当之无愧的胜利。柏林赫塔前锋约维蒂奇今天也是一个疑问,

芬兰一如既往地面临同样的问题。首发阵容是不错的,但即使是一两个变化也严重削弱了它。上赛季结束后,球队3名主力退役,中后卫阿拉朱里和托伊维奥,以及中场和队长斯帕夫。年轻球员正在接管这些新位置,尽管他们做得很好,但这意味着替补席变得越来越弱,因为没有深度。

芬兰以难以被击败而闻名,尤其是在主场,但看看最近的主场成绩揭示了另一个故事。在过去的 9 场主场比赛中,芬兰只赢了一场,1-0 对阵哈萨克斯坦!

舒勒一被林换下,问题就出现了,而且他今天也没有完全适应,所以很可能会发生变化。今天的另一位新球员是前锋波哈帕洛,他在土耳其有一个出色的赛季,可能还有门将乔罗宁,因为赫拉德基也应该休息一下,还有中场球员卡马拉。下周还有两场比赛!

黑山主帅拉杜洛维奇承诺在战胜罗马尼亚后对他的球队进行很多改变,因为对于他们来说,下一场对阵波斯尼亚的比赛在精神上更为重要。在这种情况下,阵容无法预测,但例如约维蒂奇可能会加入,所以总而言之,阵容不会完全束手无策,即使黑山在欧足联排名中仍然以微弱优势落后于芬兰,但他们确实有更多有价值的球员可供选择。

进攻方面的关键人物是 Djurgården 的 Haksabanovic,我相信他能保住自己的位置,但对于其他人,我们只能做出不值得的猜测。然而,这将是一个 4-4-2 阵型,来自边路的传中是必不可少的部分,芬兰的新中后卫可能会受到影响,如果他们需要更慢地建立,那么哈克萨诺维奇就有远射的威胁。

总而言之,这看起来像是一件非常重要的事情,但我相信个人进攻球员会决定这一点。如果舒勒和/或洛德出局的话,可能是波哈帕洛吃得饱——但我相信乔维蒂奇和哈克萨巴诺维奇。

比分参考1-2

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