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芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
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An interesting match in Austria

2022-05-29

比赛分析

解读理由

SK Rapid Wien VS WSG Swarovski Tirol

SK Rapid Wien host WSG Swarovski Tirol for this Allianz Stadion in Vienna for this Austrian Bundesliga Conference League play offs final second leg. The stakes are high as for both teams playing in this European Cup would be important. There is a lot of prize money available in this competition, and it is an important window for especially younger players to prove their skills. Playing in Europe also helps the teams to lure players to s Rapid Wien are the more traditional - the one with more success in the past - and bigger team by financial resources of these two and are of course the favorites here but clearly over-rated by the bookies! The hosts played in Europa League this season but failed to qualify from the group stage and moved on to play in Conference League but were eventually ousted by Dutch Vitesse 3-2 on aggregate. Vitesse are not even a very good team.. As a whole they have, however, had a pretty disappointing season and I am sure everyone expected more especially in the domestic league.. Their fans have been criticizing their team even quite harshly. There are also rumors that the team spirit is not the best possible at the moment. I think underdogs Tirol are more motivated to give 110% here..

The chances are of course slim as Rapid Wien won the first leg in Innsbruck three days ago 2-1. They deserved the win, but Tirol did have their chances too and can surely improve.! The ball possession was 55% in favor of the Rapid. Today the host do not even have to win, and I expect them to play pretty defensive football even at home.. Their fans will surely understand and accept this as qualifying for the Conference League is the goal here – not entertaining fans – at least not by risking too much. Tirol, on the other hand, have to take some risks as they need to win but I expect them to raise the risk level not sooner than during 20-25 minutes.. Our bet on the visitors +1.5 has a very big chance of winning as all we need is for Tirol not to lose by more than one goal! Indeed, they have not lost any of their latest five matches by more than one goal’s difference and of the ten latest matches this scenario has happened just once. The betting market fails to accept that Rapid are not as good as they should be in terms of players’ total market value and the list of players and still underestimate the surprisingly good visitors. The hosts are missing six players which does hurt them- Tirol are without Anselm, Schulz and Smith.


维也纳快速将在维也纳安联球场主场迎战瓦腾斯,这是奥地利德甲联赛联赛附加赛最后第二回合的比赛。参加本届欧洲杯的两支球队都很重要。本次比赛奖金丰厚,是特别是年轻选手证明自己实力的重要窗口。在欧洲踢球也有助于球队吸引球员前往维也纳快速是更传统的球队 - 过去更成功的球队 - 以及这两支球队的财力更大的球队,当然是这里的最爱,但显然被高估了博彩公司!东道主本赛季参加了欧联杯,但未能从小组赛出线,继续参加西联联赛,但最终以总比分3-2被荷兰人维特斯淘汰。 Vitesse 甚至都不是一支很好的球队。但总的来说,他们有一个非常令人失望的赛季,我相信每个人都期待更多,尤其是在国内联赛..他们的球迷一直在批评他们的球队,甚至相当严厉。也有传言说,团队精神目前还不是最好的。我认为失败者蒂罗尔更有动力在这里付出 110%。

三天前在因斯布鲁克的首回合比赛中,维也纳快速以 2-1 获胜的机会当然很渺茫。他们配得上胜利,但蒂罗尔也确实有机会,而且肯定可以提高。! 55%的控球率有利于快速。今天东道主甚至不必赢,我希望他们即使在主场也能踢出漂亮的防守足球。他们的球迷肯定会理解并接受这一点,因为获得会议联赛资格是这里的目标——不是娱乐球迷——至少不是冒太多风险。另一方面,蒂罗尔必须承担一些风险,因为他们需要获胜,但我预计他们会在 20-25 分钟内提高风险水平。我们对客队 +1.5 的赌注有很大的获胜机会因为我们所需要的只是让蒂罗尔不要丢大于1球!事实上,他们在最近的五场比赛中都没有输掉超过一球的差距,而在最近的十场比赛中,这种情况只发生过一次。博彩市场无法接受 Rapid 在玩家的总市值和玩家名单方面没有达到应有的水平,并且仍然低估了令人惊讶的优秀访客。主队缺少六名确实影响了他们的球员——瓦腾是缺少安塞尔姆、舒尔茨和史密斯。

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