I see Sevilla favorite here. Asian handicap -0.75 or -1 are both good bets.

Almeria is true that they have big motivation and are a team with similar quality to the relegation sides in La Liga, but I can’t really see them winning here.

Their Cup has been pretty easy: Numancia (one category below, almost an amateur side), Alaves (who played with B team and without motivation) and Osasuna (who is in relegation and used a B team there). In the last case, they suffered a lot and had to play extra-time to qualify.

They are fighting for promotion in La Liga 2. Currently 3th on the table, can’t afford distractions like the Spanish Cup. Their best player and topscorer Saddiq will be reserved today according to the main newspapers.

On the other side, Sevilla is in the best moment of the season. They have a very deep squad to play at 100% and with a competitive lineup three tournaments (La Liga, Champions League and Cup). They were lucky to face the easier team in the Cup, and they know that this is a real chance to win a title - Barcelona and Atletico de Madrid are out of the competition. And the next stage will be a two-games round. So this is a very important match for them.

Coach already said that they will be concentrated, as they know that Almeria is a strong side. Sevilla made a fantastic Cup, winning against Leganes in extra-time (similar side to Almeria) and Valencia 1:3 last week.

This month will be busy for them: a hard schedule in La Liga and the fixtures against Borussia Dortmund in the Champions League. Because of this, they will try to qualify in the regular time to avoid wasting more energy playing an extra time.

Some players will be rested, but the lineup will be very strong with important players like Diego Carlos (best defender) or Ocampos (one of best players).

It won’t be easy for Sevilla but I’m confident that they will play with the required concentration to win against a rival which obviously is one step below. They have confidence due to their last results and this is a gold chance to win a title.

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

阿尔梅里亚确实有很大的动力，而且他们的实力和西甲的保级球队差不多，但是我真的不认为他们会在这里赢。

他们的杯赛之路很简单:Numancia(下一个类别，几乎是业余球队)，阿拉维斯(上的是二线队，没有动力)和奥萨苏纳(处于降级区，也使用的二线队)。在最后一场比赛中，他们遭受了很大的打击，不得不进行加时赛才能晋级。

他们正在为西甲联赛的晋级而奋斗。目前排名第三，不能承受像西班牙杯这样的分心。据主要报纸报道，他们最好的球员和头号射手萨迪克今天将被保留。

另一方面，塞维利亚正处于本赛季最好的时刻。他们有一个非常强大的阵容去打100%的比赛，并且有三个联赛(西甲，冠军联赛和杯赛)的竞争阵容。他们很幸运能在杯赛中面对更轻松的球队，而且他们知道这是赢得冠军的真正机会——巴塞罗那和马德里竞技已经出局了。下一阶段将是两场比赛。所以这场比赛对他们来说非常重要。

教练已经说过他们会集中精力，因为他们知道阿尔梅里亚是一支强大的球队。塞维利亚在加时赛中以1:3战胜了莱加内斯(与阿尔梅里亚相似)和瓦伦西亚，赢得了一个梦幻般的奖杯。

这个月对他们来说将会很忙:西甲的赛程很紧张，欧冠对多特蒙德的赛程也很紧张。正因为如此，他们会尽量在90分钟内解决战斗，以免浪费更多的精力在加时赛上。

一些球员将会休息，但是阵容将会非常强大，有迭戈·卡洛斯(最好的后卫)和奥坎波斯(最好的球员之一)。

这对塞维利亚来说不是件容易的事，但是我相信他们会集中精力去战胜一个明显落后一步的对手。由于上次的成绩，他们有信心，这是赢得冠军的黄金机会。