The big final is here! And I’ll analyze why I think that Real Madrid can’t be the underdog here.

Liverpool is a very strong team, that’s true. But right now they aren’t at their best level. Especially physically, the team looks tired and players are far from their best form. The team is struggling to score goals and create good chances, in spite of the fact that they are dominating the games.

I’d even say that their last “great” game (with full control, danger in attack and with a good pace) was against Villarreal a month ago. Since then, they drew vs Tottenham, while struggled to beat Aston Villa, Southampton and Wolves. Also drew against Chelsea in the regular time of the FA Cup final.

Liverpool has a weak point in the right back position with Arnold, where Vinicius could be very dangerous and an important player in this match.

On the other hand, Real Madrid is full of confidence. Maybe their football is not as great as other top teams, but it’s crazy how competitive they are in the Champions League. A beast impossible to beat. They were outplayed against Chelsea, PSG and Manchester City but somehow managed to beat all of them, which were serious title contenders.

The team is full of confidence after that games and the achievement of La Liga title, while physically had time enough to rest and prepare well this game as they won La Liga already several weeks ago.

Real Madrid needs a slow game, as they suffer against high-pace teams. It’s the opposite of Liverpool who needs a high-pace match to show their best level. But seeing the current moment of the Reds physically, I don't see them able to make that kind of game. They tried it in the last games and couldn't do it. So the scenario I’m expecting is favorable to Real Madrid.

Both teams are very strong, have the quality to beat their rival and won’t be a surprise to see any of them winning here. That’s why I see value on the double chance: odds in this game should be much more equal, especially due to the special feeling that Real Madrid has in this competition. Several players in the Spanish team have the chance to win their 5st Champions League, something crazy that only other top players like Cristiano Ronaldo did.

We must remember that Real Madrid has won the last 7 Champions League finals they played. Their last defeat in a final was in 1981. Percentages for me in this match are 51-52% for Liverpool, but odds show a bigger advantage which I disagree with. Football is something that sometimes you can’t understand or explain, and Real Madrid in this tournament is the best example. I have confidence they will show again why they are the kings of Europe.

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

决赛来了!我将分析为什么我认为皇马不会在这场比赛中处于劣势。

利物浦是一支非常强大的球队，这是真的。但现在他们还没有达到最佳水平。特别是在身体上，球队看起来很疲惫，球员们也远没有达到最佳状态。尽管球队在比赛中占据统治地位，但他们仍在努力进球和创造机会。

我甚至会说他们上一场“伟大”的比赛(完全控制，进攻危险，速度很好)是一个月前对比利亚雷亚尔的比赛。从那以后，他们战平了热刺，同时又勉力击败了阿斯顿维拉、南安普顿和狼队。还在足总杯决赛的常规时间与切尔西打平。

利物浦在右后卫位置上的弱点在于阿诺德，而维尼休斯在本场比赛中是一个非常危险的重要球员。

另一方面，皇马充满信心。也许他们的足球不像其他顶级球队那么好，但他们在欧冠联赛中的竞争力太疯狂了。一只无人能敌的野兽。他们在与切尔西、巴黎圣日耳曼和曼城的比赛中被击败，但不知怎的，他们成功地击败了所有的冠军争夺者。

在这场比赛之后，球队充满了信心，在获得西甲冠军之后，他们有足够的时间休息，在这场比赛中做好准备，因为他们几周前就已经赢得了西甲冠军。

皇马需要一场慢节奏的比赛，因为他们要面对速度快的球队。这与利物浦恰恰相反，他们需要一场高速度的比赛来展示他们的最佳水平。但是从红军现在的身体状况来看，我不认为他们能够做出那样的比赛。他们在上一场比赛中尝试过，但没有成功。所以我所期待的情况对皇马有利。

两支球队都非常强大，都有能力击败他们的对手，看到他们中的任何一支在这里获胜都不会让人感到惊讶。这就是为什么我看到了双重机会的价值:这场比赛的赔率应该是平等的，尤其是由于皇马在这场比赛中的特殊感觉。西班牙队的几名球员有机会赢得他们的第5个欧冠冠军，这很疯狂，只有像c罗这样的顶级球员才能做到。

我们必须记住，皇马在过去7次欧冠决赛中都取得了胜利。他们上一次在决赛中失利是在1981年。在我看来，利物浦在这场比赛中的胜率是51比52%，但我不同意这种可能性显示出更大的优势。足球是一件有时你无法理解或解释的事情，而这场比赛中的皇马就是最好的例子。我相信他们会再次证明为什么他们是欧洲之王。