Last round of Segunda, there is nothing at stake as Mirandes will be safe in the midtable and the visiting Fuenlabrada is relegated no matter what the outcome. The lack of motivation from both is always a reason to think twice if there is any point to bet, but looking at the odds and a few key factors make me to want to have a bet for the home side. A few points:

The form of Mirandes is very questionable as they have lost 5 out of their last 6 games, and scoring has been a huge problem! However it is mostly explained by lack of motivation, but usually the teams want to end their season at home with a win, and Mirandes have been a good home team this season, they have won 8 of their last 10 home games in their last 10 Segunda home games and it is a huge statistics!

Fuenlabrada are very deservedly going down. They have been 3rd worst home team, and the worst away team. Overall this season they have in trouble from the start as the graph below shows, but the recent form is even worse and their last 10 away games are 1-1-8.

上一轮的西乙，没有什么危险的，因为米兰德斯将在安全的位置，无论结果如何，来访的富恩拉夫拉达都会降级。双方都缺乏动力总是三思而后行，但看看赔率和一些关键因素让我想为主队下注。

米兰德斯的状态非常值得怀疑，因为他们在过去的 6 场比赛中输掉了 5 场，进球一直是个大问题！然而，这主要是因为缺乏动力，但通常球队希望在主场以一场胜利结束他们的赛季，而米兰德斯本赛季是一支出色的主队，他们在过去 10 场主场比赛中赢得了 8 场Segunda 主场比赛，这是一个巨大的统计数据！

富恩拉布雷达倒下了。他们是主场成绩第三差的球队，也是客场最差的成绩。如下图所示，本赛季他们从一开始就遇到了麻烦，但最近的状态更糟，他们最近10个客场比赛是1胜1平8负。

Looking at preseason estimations and player market values Mirandes are about where they were expected to be, buen Fuenlabrada's season is a disappointment as they were one of the 8 most likely relegation candidates with smallest budgets, but by no means a favourite to go down. They were let down in front of both goals, probably the idea to cling to veteran players was not the best one? The best scorer has been Pedro Leon - 35 years old - with his 10 goals. At Mirandes Camello - 21 years old - scored 14 and their 7 best scorers are all around 21-25 years old. They still have a future to build and need to show their talent until the very end of the season.

The team news as such are not very important at this point. Mentally the home team has the edge, they are the better team and have at least some motivation both on individual and club level.

Home win looks likely to me under these circumstances.

3-0

从季前赛的估计和球员市场价值来看，米兰德斯的表现与他们预期的差不多，富恩拉夫拉达的赛季令人失望，因为他们是预算最少的 8 名最有可能降级的候选球队之一，但绝不是最可能降级的球队。他们在两个进球面前都被辜负了，可能依靠老将的想法不是最好的？最佳射手是 35 岁的佩德罗·莱昂（Pedro Leon），他打进了 10 球。在 Mirandes Camello - 21 岁 - 得到 14 分，他们的 7 名最佳得分手都在 21-25 岁左右。他们仍有未来可期，需要在赛季结束前展示自己的才华。

在这一点上，团队新闻本身并不是很重要。在精神上，主队有优势，他们是更好的球队，至少在个人和俱乐部层面都有一些动力。

在这种情况下，我认为主队获胜的可能性很大。

比分参考3-0