In my opinion Malmö have really good chances to avoid loss in 90 minutes in today's Cup final.

Since yesterday odds on Hammarby raised up by 0.20 on big Asian markets with the highest possible limits and I fully agree with this trend.

To be honest, I'm completely surprised by those odds. In my eyes Hammarby not deserved to be favorite of today's match up.

Of course, Hammarby currently have very good streak at home against Malmö as they didn't lost in last 6 consecutive matches at Tele2 Arena against them. Both teams played each other at this stadium just 3 weeks ago in league and Hammarby failed to win (0:0).

If You look on the bigger picture, Malmö have extremely solid record against Hammarby beause they lost only 3 of last 16 matches against them and I see continuation of this streak today.

Both teams coming to this game with the strongest possible line ups. Malmö is only without winger Nalic (4 matches in current season).

Market overreacted for Malmö three consecutive losses in league, but in last match aaginst Hacken they looked improved and not deserved for that result: expected goals scored for Malmö 2.02, for Hacken 2.03.

It's not like Hammarby play outstanding football at the moment, they won only once in last 4 league matches - against average Norrkoping at home, but that even that win wasn't convincing: expected goals scored for Hammarby 1.09, for Norrkoping 1.18.

On those circumstances I see good value on Malmö.

在我看来，在今天的杯赛决赛中，马尔默有很好的机会在 90 分钟内避免输球。

自昨天以来，亚洲机构的指数提高了 0.20，我完全同意这个趋势。

老实说，我对这些可能性感到非常惊讶。在我看来，哈马比无法成为这场比赛的热门。

当然，哈马比目前在主场对阵马尔默的比赛中表现非常出色，他们在 Tele2 Arena 球场连续 6 场对阵马尔默的比赛中都没有输过球。就在 3 周前的联赛中，两支球队在这个体育场交手，而哈马比队未能取胜（0:0）。

如果你放眼全局，马尔默对阵哈马比的战绩非常出色，因为他们在过去的 16 场比赛中只输掉了 3 场，我认为今天这种连胜纪录还在延续。

两支球队都会以最强的阵容参加这场比赛。马尔默只缺少边锋纳利奇（本赛季4场比赛）。

市场对马尔默三连败反应有些过度，但在上一场对阵赫根的比赛中，他们看起来有所进步，但不应该得到这样的结果：马尔默的预期进球数为 2.02，赫根的预期进球数为 2.03。

这不像哈马比现在踢出出色的足球，他们在过去的 4 场联赛中只赢了一次——在主场对阵平均水平的球队北雪平，但即使是那场胜利也不能令人信服：哈马比的预期进球数为 1.09，北雪平的预期进球数为 1.18。

在这种情况下，我认为选择马尔默很有价值。