Honka vs Ilves

Honka welcome visitors from Tampere for this Veikkausliiga clash at Tapiolan Urheilupuisto in Espoo. Veikkausliiga is the 1st tier of Finnish football. The level is not particularly high by European standards and high-scoring matches are quite extremely rare. Almost all teams have a relatively strong defense though, but the tempo is low, and few players are not very skilled offensively. Honka’s excellent coach Vesa Vasara wants his team to play offensive football though! Indeed, this match might offer better than average entertainment for football fans – by Veikkausliiga standards as Ilves also try to attack even in away matches. Honka favor short passes and aim to controlling the ball as much as possible. The hosts – once again – have a young but very talented team and some players will surely play a good career in bigger leagues in the future. The team’s average age is just 23.8 years and improve all the time. I recommend my fans to follow Agon Sadiku,19, closely. His is a very skilled and fast striker who seems to raise his level all the time. Honka does not have a very big number of spectators in Tapiola but do have a group of young, very loud and enthusiastic fans which helps a lot as Honka’s promising Portuguese defender,22, highlighted publicly ahead of this game. On average the home advantage in Veikkausliiga is smaller than in many other European leagues, but here it is substantial!

I expected Honka to improve from the quite disappointing last season as I expected and - also wrote about - on my first Veikkausliiga preview. We won this free pick as HJK, the best team and reigning champions, beat Honka 1-0. Honka, however, had their chances and it could easily have been a draw. I was impressed particularly by Honka’s defensive structure and attitude already in this match! They have won all the three home matches this season - two in Tapiola and one at Bolt Arena in Helsinki. In their most recent home match, they were extremely good against a very dangerous team Inter Turku. The final score was only 2-1 but could easily have been 2-0 or 3-1. Indeed, Honka created 12 scoring attempts and recorded five shots on target. They, once again, defended in an extremely solid way and allowed Inter only two shots on target. Honka also had much more attacks and especially dangerous attacks. If they can maintain this level, they will probably win! The chance for my fans and me to win once again is 63%. Last season Honka won this fixture comfortably 4-1. In their most recent match in Oulu Honka were not at their best and lost 1-2. It was a quite balanced match and Honka had some trouble trying the break AC Oulu’s defense. They did record much more attacks and dangerous attacks than the strong team at home – AC Oulu. At the moment Honka occupy the 3rd place in the standings with 13 points and have a very good goal difference – 14:8 and 10:4 at home. Ilves, on the other hand, are in 5th place have ten points and their goal difference is 11:10. We should not be fooled by the standings – by pure class Honka are clearly better. The bookies seem to keep under-estimating them and we must take advantage of this!

We have already made big profits betting on Veikkausliiga and on the 2nd tier, Ykkönen, and won again all three picks last Sunday when Ilves beat IFK Mariehamn, Jaro humiliated PK-35 4-0 (!) and TPS defeated SJK Akatemia 2-0. Moreover, this earlier this week SJK got the job done for us against Haka. We did, however, lose a bet on Oulu as KuPS were simply to good and won 3-0. Not all bets can of course be won - I don’t usually go for very low odds. Making a profit long-term is the goal! As a Finnish person myself I know Finnish football extremely well and sometimes have information not publicly available – or sometimes I get the information before it is widely spread on the internet .. This offers myself and my fans to take advantage and place bets with extremely high expected value!

Ilves are not a good team on the road and have lost two of thee three away matches this season. Even a pretty lowly team Haka were clearly better team in the season opener and beat Ilves 2-1. Moreover, Ilves were disappointing in their most recent match at home despite sending IFK Mariehamn on the long way back to Åland without any points. Mariehamn did defend well but Ilves’ had surprisingly big problems trying to create scoring chances. Finally their experienced captain Petteri Pennanen scored the winning goal in the 83th minute. They will have to pass the ball much faster and more accurately today of they want to break Honka’s defense. Overall, the tempo in Sunday’s match was extremely low except for the last ten minutes. I also want to mention Mariehamn were, in fact, very close to making it 1-1 but the hosts goalkeeper Leislahti made an excellent save. A draw would have been a justified result.

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

Veikkausliiga是芬兰足球的一级球员。以欧洲的标准来看，这一水平并不是特别高，高得分的比赛也非常罕见。虽然几乎所有的球队都有相对较强的防守，但节奏较低，很少有球员没有很好的进攻技巧。Honka的优秀教练Vesa Vasara希望他的球队踢进攻型足球!事实上，这场比赛可能会为球迷提供比一般比赛更好的娱乐——以韦考斯利加的标准，因为伊尔维斯甚至在客场比赛中也试图进攻。洪卡喜欢短传，目标是尽可能地控制球。东道主——再一次——拥有一支年轻但才华横溢的球队，一些球员未来肯定会在更大的联赛中发挥出色。球队的平均年龄只有23.8岁，而且一直在提高。我建议我的粉丝们密切关注19岁的阿贡·萨迪库(Agon Sadiku)。他是一个技术娴熟、速度很快的前锋，他的水平似乎一直在提高。洪卡在塔皮奥拉没有很多观众，但有一群年轻、大声、热情的球迷，这对洪卡很有帮助，22岁的葡萄牙后卫在比赛前公开强调了这一点。平均而言，维考斯利加的主场优势比其他欧洲联赛要小，但这里的优势是巨大的!

在我的第一次Veikkausliiga预演中，我希望洪卡能像我预期的那样，从令人失望的上个赛季中有所改善。我们赢得了这个自由选秀，HJK，最好的球队和卫冕冠军，1-0击败了Honka。然而，洪卡有机会，本可以轻松平局。这场比赛中洪卡的防守结构和态度给我留下了特别深刻的印象!他们赢得了本赛季所有的三场主场比赛——两场在塔皮奥拉，一场在赫尔辛基的博尔特竞技场。在他们最近的主场比赛中，他们在与一支非常危险的球队图尔库的比赛中表现非常出色。最终比分只有2-1，但很可能是2-0或3-1。事实上，洪卡创造了12次得分机会，并记录了5次命中目标。他们的防守再一次非常稳固，只让国际米兰两次射门命中目标。Honka也有更多的攻击，尤其是危险的攻击。如果他们能保持这个水平，他们可能会赢!我和我的球迷再次获胜的机会是63%。上赛季宏卡以4-1的比分轻松赢得了这场比赛。在最近的一场比赛中，他们的状态不是很好，1比2输了。这是一场相当平衡的比赛，洪卡在试图突破奥卢的防守时遇到了一些麻烦。他们确实比主场的强队奥卢记录了更多的进攻和危险的进攻。目前宏卡以13分占据积分榜第三位，在主场有非常好的进球数——14:8和10:4。另一方面，伊尔维斯以10分排名第五，他们的净胜球差是11:10。我们不应该被排名所愚弄——纯级的洪卡显然更好。赌徒似乎一直低估他们，我们必须利用这一点!

我们已经在Veikkausliiga和二级联赛Ykkönen上押注了很大的利润，上周日Ilves击败了IFK marihamn, Jaro以4-0羞辱了PK-35, TPS以2-0击败了skk Akatemia，我们再次赢得了所有三个选择。此外，本周早些时候，SJK为我们完成了对哈卡舞的任务。然而，我们确实输掉了对奥卢的赌注，因为KuPS表现太好，以3比0获胜。当然，不是所有的赌注都能赢——我通常不赌很低的赔率。长期盈利是我们的目标!作为一个芬兰人，我对芬兰足球非常了解，有时我知道一些不公开的信息，有时我在这些信息在互联网上广泛传播之前就知道了。这为我和我的粉丝提供了优势，并以极高的期望值下注!

伊尔维斯在客场表现不佳，本赛季客场三场比赛输了两场。即使是实力很弱的哈卡队在揭幕战中也明显表现更好，2-1击败了伊尔维斯。此外，伊尔维斯在最近的一场主场比赛中也令人失望，尽管他们把玛丽厄姆送回了Åland，却没有得到一分。玛丽厄姆防守很好，但伊尔维斯在创造得分机会方面遇到了令人惊讶的大问题。最后，他们经验丰富的队长佩特里·佩纳宁在第83分钟打入制胜一球。他们今天必须更快更准确地传球，因为他们想要突破洪卡的防守。总的来说，周日比赛的节奏非常低，除了最后十分钟。我还想提一下，事实上，马里厄姆非常接近1-1，但东道主门将莱斯拉赫蒂做出了一个精彩的扑救。平局本来是一个合理的结果。