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芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
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The solid 20/27 WON streak continues?

2022-05-18

比赛分析

韩职

已完赛

星期三2022-05-18 18:30

解读理由

Seongnam FC VS Suwon FC

Seongnam FC host Suwon FC for this Korean K League 1 round 13 clash at Tancheon Stadium Wednesday evening Beijing time. K League 1 offers reasonably good entertainment for football fans and is, most importantly for my fans and me, very promising betting-wise and I will be posting more picks on now that in the major European Leagues in England, Germany, Italy and Spain are almost finished. The average expected goal number in this league is lower than in for example in the more offensive Japanese J1 League and there are more draws in K League 1. This result would surely not surprise anyone here between these two teams.. The visitors are clearly better by raw class but we must, of course, take home advantage into account. Seongnam do not have the best fans though which does hurt their chances of taking points here as well. Even so, Home advantage, should never be underestimated as I have often mentioned – the visitors are not great on the road. The visitors are only quite narrow favorites with a 40% chance of winning. However, with the suggested +0.5 goals handicap option the chance of winning is 70%.

The hosts have grabbed just five points so far and are the rock-bottom team by a big margin. All other teams have at least 11 points in the bank. I also want to highlight that heir goal difference is hilariously bad - 8:24. It seems to me that the betting market fails to accept that Seongnam are a mess at the moment. Nothing positive can be written about them at this point. They have lost five matches in a row in this league and their confidence is, as a result, very low. The atmosphere within the team is also not great.. Surely even a point would be a somewhat satisfactory result here for them and they are very poor offensively anyway. Seongnam would probably need to score at least twice to win as the visitors have pretty strong offense!

The visitors, on the other hand, have grabbed 11 points so far and have a goal difference of 17:23 Indeed, they would have to improve defensively to climb up in the standings. Especially in structure and relieving the pressure put by the opponent have been a problem. Yes, the visitors have lost two of their most recent matches, but we must realize that Jeju Utd and Seoul are strong teams! Jeju Utd are, in fact, in the second place in the standings. These 1-3 losses do not worry me ahead of this match as Gangwon are so much weaker an opponent! The betting market seems to have given too much emphasis to the defeats though.. We must use this to our advantage! Before these unsuccessful matches they played a promising game versus Incheon, another strong team – they are in 3rd place in the standings. It was a 2-2 draw at home, but Suwon could easily have even won! They had more scoring chances and shots on target. The visitors had 54% ball possession though. If they can keep the level, they played at in this match they will most probably not at least lose today.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

北京时间23日晚,韩国甲联赛第1轮第13轮比赛在端川球场举行,城南队主场迎战水原队。K联赛为球迷提供了相当好的娱乐,最重要的是,对我和我的球迷来说,它是非常有前途的赌注,我将张贴更多的选择,现在在英格兰,德国,意大利和西班牙的主要欧洲联赛几乎结束。这个联赛的平均预期进球数比日本J1联赛要低,而K联赛有更多的平局。这两支球队的结果肯定不会让在场的任何人感到意外。从原始等级来看,客队显然更好,但我们当然必须考虑主场优势。城南没有最好的球迷,这也损害了他们在这里得分的机会。即便如此,主场优势也不应该被低估,就像我经常提到的那样——客队在客场表现不佳。客队的胜算很小,只有40%的胜算。然而,与建议的+0.5个目标障碍选项,获胜的机会是70%。

东道主到目前为止只拿到了5分,并且以很大的优势垫底。所有其他队伍的银行中至少有11分。我还想强调的是,他们的净胜球差糟糕得可笑——8:24。在我看来,目前的赌博市场似乎无法接受城南是一片混乱。在这一点上,对他们没有任何正面的评价。他们已经在联赛中输掉了五场比赛,因此他们的信心非常低。球队内部的气氛也不是很好。当然,即使一分对他们来说也是一个令人满意的结果,无论如何他们的进攻很差。城南队可能需要至少进两球才能获胜,客队的进攻相当强大!

另一方面,客队到目前为止已经拿到了11分,并取得了17:23的进球数差距。事实上,他们必须提高防守才能爬上排名。特别是在结构和减轻对手的压力方面一直是一个问题。是的,客队最近输了两场比赛,但我们必须认识到济州岛和首尔是强队!事实上,济州联合大学排名第二。在比赛之前,1-3的失利并不会让我担心,因为江原是一个弱得多的对手!不过,博彩市场似乎过于重视失败。我们必须利用这一点!在这些不成功的比赛之前,他们打了一场充满希望的比赛,对手是另一支强队仁川,他们目前排名第三。虽然主场2比2战平,但水原本来可以轻松获胜!他们有更多的得分机会和射门命中目标。客队有54%的控球率。如果他们能保持这场比赛的水平,他们今天很可能不会输。

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