Adelaide United VS Melbourne City

Adelaide United host Melbourne City for this Australian A-League semi-finals 1st leg at Coopers Stadium Wednesday afternoon Beijing time and the takes are, of course, high. This is not a very high-class league, compared to many European leagues, but offers decent entertainment as the best teams are capable of attacking football and some players have a good skill-level. Goals are expected here - I mean 0-0 would be a big surprise, but I see expect this match to be more low-scoring than the betting market does. Neither team wants to lose the first leg and I expect clearly more defensive, even cautious Australian standards, football than if this was a regular season clash. This increases the probability of a draw, which would probably be a quite satisfactory result even for the visitors as they are very strong at their stadium – they have won eight of their latest matches there.. This would bring my fans and me yet another winner with the +0.5 goals handicap option on Adelaide. Adelaide, on the other hand are fully aware that they are the underdogs in this matchup.. The probability of winning the bet is 57%. I really struggle to understand why the betting market see the visitors as such clear favorites.. Surely, they are the better team by pure class but not by a huge margin. The home advantage is substantial, and the hosts have taken five wins in a row at their stadium! The goal difference in these matches was 10-2!

Melbourne City topped the standing after regular season with 49 points and a goal difference of 53:33. They do have a lot of offensive power, but I think the football media and the betting market exaggerate this quite a bit! They lost two their latest three regular season matches in A-league and even failed to score in these matches! I do admit that they had chances for netting the ball in this two games, but their offensive structure was not as good as earlier this season and they should be a bit worried facing a dangerous team Adelaide away from home today.. They did beat Wellington Phoenix 2-1 at home in their most recent match, but it was no a particularly convincing performance. If they cannot improve, they will probably not win today! The ball possession was 50-50% and whilst they had much more scoring attempts than the visitors, the shots on target statistic was just 4-3 in their favor. I also want to highlight that they were 81% favorites to win according to the betting market. Adelaide are, of course, much stronger than Wellington!

The hosts finished in 4th place after the regular season with 43 points and a goal difference of 38:31. Interestingly, only Melbourne City allowed less goals than Adelaide. The definitely hosts cannot match the visitors in terms of goal-scoring potential but have a solid defense! They are very structured team, and the midfielders are active in defending. I also want to add that they do have offensive potential for scoring more goals than they did during the regular season.. Moreover, they are in a whopping winning streak of six matches! They would deserve more respect from the betting market. In their most recent match, they defeated Central Coast Mariners 3-1 at home. The match was a bit more balanced than the final score would suggest, but they still deserved the win as they created much more scoring attempts and twice as much shots on target than the visitors. It was a quarter finals match and the opponents are a dangerous team. If Adelaide can improve further, they might even win today!

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阿德莱德联队VS墨尔本城队

北京时间周三下午，阿德莱德联队将在库伯斯体育场迎战澳甲联赛半决赛首回合的墨尔本城市队。与许多欧洲联赛相比，这不是一个非常高的联赛，但提供了体面的娱乐，因为最好的球队有能力进攻足球，一些球员有良好的技术水平。进球在这里是被期待的——我的意思是0-0会是一个很大的惊喜，但我认为这场比赛将比博彩市场更低的得分。两支球队都不想输掉第一回合比赛，我希望比赛中会有更多的防守，甚至是谨慎的澳大利亚标准，而不是常规赛。这增加了平局的可能性，即使对客队来说，这也可能是一个相当令人满意的结果，因为他们在自己的球场非常强大——他们最近在那里赢了8场比赛。这将为我和我的球迷带来另一个在阿德莱德+0.5球障碍选项的冠军。另一方面，阿德莱德充分意识到他们在这场比赛中处于劣势。赢的概率是57%。我真的很难理解为什么博彩市场将游客视为明显的宠儿。当然，就纯水平而言，他们是更好的球队，但差距并不大。主场优势是巨大的，东道主已经在他们的体育场取得了五连胜!这几场比赛的净胜球是10比2!

在常规赛结束后，墨尔本以49分和53:33的净胜球领先。他们确实有很多进攻力量，但我认为足球媒体和博彩市场夸大了这一点!他们在最近的三场常规赛中输掉了两场，甚至在这些比赛中都没有进球!我承认他们在这两场比赛中有进球的机会，但是他们的进攻结构不如本赛季早些时候，他们今天在客场面对阿德莱德的时候应该有点担心。在最近的一场比赛中，他们确实在主场2-1击败了惠灵顿凤凰城，但这并不是一个特别令人信服的表现。如果他们不能提高，他们今天可能就赢不了!控球率是50% -50%，虽然他们比客队有更多的得分机会，但射门命中数据只对他们有利，4-3。我还想强调的是，根据博彩市场，他们有81%的胜算。阿德莱德当然比惠灵顿强大得多!

东道主在常规赛结束后以43分和38分31的净胜球差距排名第四。有趣的是，只有墨尔本比阿德莱德丢球少。东道主绝对无法在进球潜力方面与客队匹敌，但他们有坚实的防守!他们是一支组织严密的球队，中场积极防守。我还想补充一点，他们确实有进攻潜力，可以比常规赛进更多球。此外，他们还取得了惊人的六连胜!他们应该得到博彩市场的更多尊重。在最近的一场比赛中，他们在主场以3比1击败了中央海岸水手队。比赛比最后的比分显示的要平衡一些，但他们仍然应该赢，因为他们创造了更多的进球机会和两倍的射门目标比客队。这是一场四分之一决赛，对手是一支危险的球队。如果阿德莱德能进一步提高，他们甚至可能赢得今天!