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芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
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Yet another great bet from FINLAND!

2022-05-17

比赛分析

芬超

已完赛

星期二2022-05-17 23:00

解读理由

AC Oulu vs KuPS

AC Oulu welcome visitors all the way from Kuopio for this Finnish Veikkausliiga round 8 clash at Raatin stadion. KuPS have played an amazing 28 (!) matches in a row in Veikkausliiga without losing! This is of course, a stunning record! They currently top the standings with 19 points and a goal difference of 13:5. They have won all expect for one match in this league so far and played one draw. One might think betting on them every time is the winning recipe.. Well, this is most certainly not the case long-term! I only care about long-term profits and sometimes post picks with big odds and occasionally with low odds – both are needed to make a profit in the long run. First of all, KuPS are not in reality the best team in this league by raw class – HJK Helsinki are! KuPS are the second-best team in my power ratings that illustrate the teams’ pure class. Even KuPS’s excellent coach, Simo Valakari, has admitted that performance-wise they need to improve. He said that he was not satisfied with the latest two matches.

Veikkausliiga is the highest level of Finnish football. The level is not particularly high by European standards and high-scoring matches are quite rare. Almost all teams have a pretty strong defense though, but the tempo is low and few players are very skilled offensively. I expect Oulu’s Portuaguese coach Ricardo Duarte to choose a pretty cautious strategy today against a very strong opponent. The home crowd will fully understand this.. Veikkausliiga does not offer high-class entertainment for football fans I am afraid, and this is the case here but we do have lucrative chance to make profit – once again. The +1.5 handicap is high one for Veikkausliiga! We did lose a -1.5 goals handicap bet on Inter Turku last Saturday, the only Veikkausliiga bet lost this season, but the odds were too high, and I have no regrets! Interestingly,the last time KuPS won an away match by more than one goal in Veikkausliiga was against HIFK at Bolt Arena on the 22th of August 2021! They have over-performed overall this season and as I have said before, are over-valuated by the betting market in most matches, especially in handicap betting. However, we will surely bet on them if/when the odds are too high later this season!

AC Oulu have had positive start to the season and have many new, interesting players for this season. Even so, they do not seem to get the respect they would deserve on the betting market. They are currently in 6th place in the standings and have grabbed nine points. Moreover, they have not lost any home matches! There is a big chance they will today though as KuPS are of course clear favorites. However, the chance for them not to lose by more than one goal is big! This would bring us yet another winner! They were clearly the better team 1.5 weeks ago against HIFK despite the 1-1 draw and would have deserved a win. HIFK are not a great team though. In their most recent match, Oulu beat Honka, a very dangerous team 2-1, also at home, and defended very well. They will need to succeed in that today as well..

We have already made big profits betting on Veikkausliiga and on the 2nd tier, Ykkönen, and won again all three picks last Sunday when Ilves beat IFK Mariehamn, Jaro humiliated PK-35 4-0 (!) and TPS beat SJK Akatemia 2-0. As a Finnish person myself I know Finnish football extremely well and sometimes have information not publicly available – or sometimes I get the information before it is widely spread on the internet .. This offers myself and my fans to take advantage and place bets with extremely high expected value! KuPS played a strong first half in their most recent match against Haka, a decent team, but looked vulnerable in the second half and Haka managed to score. Oulu, at their stadium are a more dangerous opponent than Haka were in Kuopio…


奥卢在 Raatin 体育场举行的芬兰超第 8 轮比赛迎战库普斯。 库披萨在 Veikkausliiga 连续打了 28 场(!)场比赛没有输球!这当然是一个惊人的记录!他们目前以19分和13:5的净胜球高居榜首。到目前为止,他们在这个联赛中赢得了所有人期望的一场比赛,并且打了一场平局。有人可能会认为每次都投注他们是获胜的秘诀。好吧,这肯定不是长期的情况!我只关心长期利润,有时会发布高赔率的选秀权,偶尔也会关注低赔率的选秀权——从长远来看,两者都是盈利的必要条件。首先,库普斯实际上并不是这个联盟中最好的球队——赫尔辛基 HJK 是! 库普斯是我的实力评级中第二好的团队,这说明了团队的纯粹等级。甚至库普斯的优秀教练 Simo Valakari 也承认他们需要提高表现。他说不满意与最近的两场比赛。 Veikkausliiga 是芬兰足球的最高级别。按照欧洲标准,这个水平并不是特别高,高分比赛也很少见。虽然几乎所有球队都有相当强的防守,但节奏很慢,很少有球员在进攻端非常熟练。我预计奥卢的葡萄牙教练里卡多·杜阿尔特今天会选择一个相当谨慎的策略来对抗一个非常强大的对手。主场观众会完全理解这一点。恐怕Veikkausliiga 不会为球迷提供高级娱乐,这里就是这种情况,但我们确实有赚钱的机会——再一次。对于 Veikkausliiga 来说,+1.5 的差点是很高的!上周六我们输掉了国际图尔库的-1.5 球让分盘赌,这是本赛季唯一输掉的Veikkausliiga 赌注,但赔率太高了,我不后悔!有趣的是,KuPS上一次在Veikkausliiga客场以多于一球的优势取胜是22日在博尔特球场对阵HIFK。2021 年 8 月!他们本赛季的整体表现出色,正如我之前所说,在大多数比赛中,投注市场都高估了他们,尤其是在让分盘投注中。但是,如果/当本赛季晚些时候的赔率太高时,我们肯定会押注他们!

奥卢本赛季开局不错,本赛季有很多新的、有趣的球员。即便如此,他们似乎并没有在博彩市场上得到应有的尊重。他们目前在积分榜上排名第 6 位,并获得了 9 分。而且,他们还没有输掉任何主场比赛!他们今天很有可能会,因为库普斯显然是最受欢迎的。不过,他们不失一球的机会是很大的!这将为我们带来另一个赢家!尽管 1-1 战平,但他们显然是 1.5 周前对阵 HIFK 的更好球队,他们理应获胜。不过,HIFK 并不是一支伟大的球队。在他们最近的一场比赛中,奥卢以2-1击败了一支非常危险的球队洪卡,同样是在主场,而且防守很好。他们今天也需要在这方面取得成功。

我们已经在芬甲中上获得了很大的利润,并且在上周日 Ilves 击败 IFK Mariehamn、Jaro 以 4-0 羞辱 PK-35(!)和 TPS 以 2-0 击败 SJK Akatemia 时再次赢得了所有三个选秀权.作为一个芬兰人,我对芬兰足球非常了解,有时会获得不公开的信息——或者有时我会在信息在互联网上广泛传播之前获得信息。这让我和我的粉丝可以利用! 库普斯在最近一场对阵 Haka 的比赛中表现出色,这是一支不错的球队,但在下半场看起来很脆弱,哈卡成功得分。奥卢,在他们的球场上是比哈卡在库奥皮奥更危险的对手……

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