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芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
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More profit from FINNISH football? 芬超精选

2022-05-17

比赛分析

主队哈卡LOGO

哈卡

芬超

已完赛

星期二2022-05-17 23:00

客队塞那乔其LOGO

塞那乔其

解读理由

Haka vs SJK

Haka welcome visitors all the way from Seinäjoki, a city in Western Finland, for this Finnish Veikkausliiga round 8 clash at Tehtaan Kenttä in Valkeakoski. It is quite a long way to travel for SJK and traveling always takes energy but we still have to remember that home advantage is on average lower in Veikkausliiga than in most European football leagues. The people of Valkeakoski, a small city, in Southern Finland, do love their team but the fans are not very loud, and cannot be even compared to for example the very enthusiastic HIFK's fans known as "Stadin Kingit" - The Kings of Stadi. "Stadi" is the slang name for Helsinki, the capital of my home country. Haka's fans cannot really create an atmosphere that would intimidate the visiting team or the referee.. The match taking place on Tuesday at 18:00 local time also means that there will not be as many fans today as there would probably would have been has this match been played say 15:00 on Saturday or Sunday..This is the highest level of Finnish football. The level is not particularly high by European standards and high-scoring matches are quite rare. Almost all teams have a pretty solid defense though but the tempo is low and few players are skilled offensively. It does not offer high-class entertainment for football fans I am afraid. We have already made big profits betting on Veikkausliiga and on the 2nd tier, Ykkönen, and won again all three picks last Sunday when Ilves beat IFK Mariehamn, Jaro crushed PK-35 4-0 (!) and TPS beat SJK Akatemia 2-0. In this match SJK +0.5 goals handicap is the smart choice for my fans and me. A draw would be enough and the chance for us winning this pick is 64%.

SJK have under-performed this season which must be the main reason for them being under-rated by the betting market. Haka have also, for some reason, convinced the betting market with their perfomances.. SJK currently occupy the 11th place with six points. There are a total of 12 teams in this league. Haka, on the other hand, are in the 7th place with nine points. However, I rate SJK in the 4th place in my power ratings that illustrate the teams' overall class. Haka are in the 8th or 9th place - there are some very evenly matched teams in this league.. They have improved from very bad last season but not as much as the betting market thinks! They lost to a very good team KuPS, the current leaders, in Kuopio and played, in fact, pretty well despite the 1-2 loss. However, I will not react to this better than expected performance too much.. Haka's level on the pitch varies quite a lot and in their most recent match they were very bad offensively and lost 0-2 to the newly promoted VPS 0-2.Before this they needed the go all the way to beat TPS, who play in Ykkönen, to qualify for the next round of Finnish Cup. It was a disappointing performance! TPS had their chances to win already during the 90 minutes of play. Except for the KuPS match Haka have not faced very strong opponents recently.

SJK are the better team in all areas of the game, especially in terms of offensive creativity and structure. Their coach is also better than Haka's Teemu Tainio. The visitors ended a losing streak of five match against VPS with a hard-fought 1-0 away from home win last week. The was not a great performance but is a huge morale boost and relief for the promising Spanish coach's Joaquin Gomez,35, team. We must, however, remember that SJK would have deserved some points in many of the matches they lost! This was the case especially in match they played at home before beating VPS - they lost 1-2 at home and would have deserved a draw from this quite balanced match. They also challenged HJK very well in the 2nd round of Veikkausliiga and almost scored a late 1-1 goal despite playing with ten men. SJK were far from their optimal level in the first half of last season as well but improved a lot as the season progressed..

At least wo more picks will be posted to make more profit for my fans!

GOOD LUCK!


哈卡迎战来自芬兰西部城市塞那乔其在 Valkeakoski 的 Tehtaan Kenttä 举行的芬兰超第 8 轮比赛。对于塞那乔其来说,客场的路很长,旅行总是需要精力,但我们仍然必须记住,荷兰村的主场优势低于大多数欧洲足球联赛。芬兰南部的一个小城市 Valkeakoski 的人们确实很喜欢他们的球队,但球迷们的支持并不大,甚至无法与被称为“Stadin Kingit”的非常热情的 HIFK 球迷相提并论 - 斯塔迪之王。 “Stadi”是我祖国首都赫尔辛基的俚语名称。哈卡的球迷无法真正营造出恐吓客队或裁判的气氛。 当地时间周二 18:00 举行的比赛也意味着今天的球迷人数不会像本来那样多周六或周日 15:00 进行了比赛。这是最高的芬兰足球水平。按照欧洲标准,这个水平并不是特别高,高分比赛也很少见。虽然几乎所有球队都有相当稳固的防守,但节奏很慢,很少有球员在进攻端有技巧。恐怕它不会为足球迷提供高级娱乐。我们已经在 Veikkausliiga 和第二梯队 Ykkönen 上获得了巨额利润,并且在上周日 Ilves 击败 IFK Mariehamn、Jaro 以 4-0 击败 PK-35(!)和 TPS 以 2-0 击败SJK时再次赢得了指数。在这场比赛中,塞那乔其进球让分是明智选择。平局就足够了,我们赢得这场比赛的机会是 64%。

塞那乔其本赛季表现不佳,这一定是他们被投注市场低估的主要原因。出于某种原因,Haka 也以他们的表现说服了博彩市场。塞那乔其目前以 6 分占据第 11 位。这个联赛共有12支球队。哈卡,在另一方面,以9分排在第7位。但是,我将塞那乔其评为第四名,这说明了团队的整体班级。哈卡排在第 8 位或第 9 位 - 这个联盟中有一些势均力敌的球队。他们从上赛季非常糟糕的情况下有所改善,但并没有博彩市场想象的那么多!他们在库奥皮奥输给了一支非常出色的球队库普斯,目前的领头羊,尽管以 1-2 输球,他们实际上打得很好。不过,我不会对这种比预期更好的表现做出太多反应。哈卡在球场上的水平变化很大,在他们最近的比赛中,他们的进攻非常糟糕,0-2输给了升班马VPS 0-2。在此之前,他们需要一路击败在Ykkönen踢球的TPS,才能获得下一轮芬兰杯的参赛资格。这是一场令人失望的表演! TPS 在 90 分钟的比赛中已经有机会获胜。除了库普斯的比赛,哈卡最近没有遇到过很强的对手。

塞那乔其在比赛的各个方面都表现得更好,尤其是在进攻创造力和结构方面。他们的教练也比 哈卡的 Teemu Tainio 要好。客队上周客场以 1-0 惨胜,结束了与 VPS 的五连败。这不是一个伟大的表现,但对于有前途的西班牙教练的 35 岁的华金戈麦斯来说,这是一个巨大的士气鼓舞和解脱。然而,我们必须记住,塞那乔其在他们输掉的许多比赛中都应该得到一些分数!尤其是在击败 VPS 之前的主场比赛中,他们在主场以 1-2 失利,本应在这场相当平衡的比赛中打平。他们在Veikkausliiga的第2轮也很好地挑战了HJK,尽管有10人比赛,但他们几乎打进了1-1的最后进球。 塞那乔其在上赛季前半段也远未达到最佳水平,但随着赛季的进行,进步很大。

祝好运

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