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芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
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The super hot streak continues?

2022-05-16

比赛分析

主队锡尔克堡LOGO

锡尔克堡

丹麦超

已完赛

星期二2022-05-17 01:00

客队中日德兰LOGO

中日德兰

解读理由

Silkeborg VS Midtjylland

Silkeborg host Midjylland for this Danish Super Liga Championship group round 31 clash at Jysk Park very early on Tuesday Beijing time. Denmark is an awesome football country and did, once again make it to the World Cup played in Qatar later this year. The best teams in Super Liga are quite good even by European standards and FC Copenhagen and Midtjylland have even qualified for the Champions League in recent years! The Danes are enthusiastic about football and home advantage is substantial here as well. Silkeborg have actually won four of their latest matches in front of their great fans – scoring 11 goals. This is impressive indeed!

Silkeborg are not a very big club by financial resources or players’ total market value which is ten million euros according to a respected German website,Transfermarkt.com. This is too low a number though, and I would say 17 million would be more realistic. Midtjyllands squad is valued at 47.25 million - this is too high indeed At least four of Silkeborg’s players are under-valued – two of them even substantially. However, on the pitch they perform well and play great as a team and have an exceptionally good team spirit! They have a good structure, especially defensively and have allowed just one goal more than Midtjylland, 31 that is. They do have dangerous offensive players as well and have scored almost the same number of goals as FC Copenhagen who have, in reality, already secured the championship! They have 65 points in the bank and six points more than Midtjylland and have ten goals better goal difference. The visitors only have two matches left to play. If teams finish on equal points at the end of the season, score difference will be the tie-breaker. Silkeborg have 49 points in the bank and are under-rated, once again by the betting market. The surely have a lot bigger motivation than Midtjylland here - playing in front of their loud fans. It would not be a surprise to see both teams rotating their squad and offering young, talented guys to show what they can do! This league is, after all, mainly a development league, as Tim Sparv, a former Finnish national team captain and Midtjylland player has said in the media many times. In their most recent, match Silkeborg played very well against FC Copenhagen despite the 1-2 away from home defeat as clear underdogs. They had 55% ball possession and recorded more completed passes and dangerous attacks in this balanced match. Before this they had an convincing winning streak of six matches – amazing! Midtjylland, on the other hand, failed to beat Bröndy in their most recent match - it was a disappointing 2-2 draw at home as big favorites. In a match before this Aalborg were slightly the better team but Midtjylland won 2-1 away from home. They are definitely once again over-rated on the betting market and we will take advantage of this, of course! The hosts are missing Calisir, Dahl, Lind, Massop and Rokjaer but the betting market has over-reacted to this. We have a 70% chance to win for the 8th time in a row with the bet on the hosts with the +0.5 goals handicap option. Silkeborg have a 43.5% of winning.

I have also posted a free pick Serie A pick for today! Please remember to check it!

In addition to a pick already available on Juventus vs Lazio, I have also spotted too high odds on more team and this pick will be posted well before the kick off.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

北京时间周二凌晨,希尔克堡主场迎战丹麦超级西甲联赛第31轮小组赛。丹麦是一个令人敬畏的足球国家,今年晚些时候,他们再次进入了在卡塔尔举行的世界杯。即使以欧洲的标准来衡量,超级联赛中最好的球队也是相当不错的,哥本哈根俱乐部和米德日兰俱乐部近年来甚至获得了冠军联赛的资格!丹麦人对足球充满热情,主场优势也很可观。西尔克堡队在他们伟大的球迷面前赢得了最近的四场比赛——进了11个球。这确实令人印象深刻!

根据德国知名网站Transfermarkt.com的数据,从财力和球员的总市值来看,西尔克堡并不是一家非常大的俱乐部。不过这个数字太低了,我觉得1700万更现实。至少有四名西尔克堡球员的价值被低估了,其中两名甚至是相当高的。然而,在球场上,他们表现得很好,作为一个团队发挥得很好,有非常好的团队精神!他们的结构很好,特别是在防守端,他们只比米德日兰多进了一个球,也就是31个。他们也有危险的进攻球员,他们的进球数几乎和哥本哈根一样多,事实上,哥本哈根已经获得了冠军!他们在银行里有65分,比米特日兰多6分,净胜球比米特日兰多10个。客队只剩下两场比赛了。如果两队在赛季结束时得分相同,则比分差距将成为平局的决胜因素。西尔克伯格在银行持有49分,又一次被博彩市场低估了。他们在这里肯定比米德日兰更有动力——在他们喧闹的球迷面前比赛。看到两支球队轮换阵容,并提供年轻、有天赋的球员来展示他们的能力,这并不令人惊讶!毕竟,正如前芬兰国家队队长、米德日兰球员蒂姆·斯帕夫(Tim Sparv)在媒体上多次所说,这个联赛主要是一个发展型联赛。在最近的一场比赛中,西尔克堡队在与哥本哈根队的比赛中表现非常好,尽管客场1-2落败,明显处于劣势。在这场平衡的比赛中,他们有55%的控球率,记录了更多的完整传球和危险的进攻。在此之前,他们已经取得了令人信服的六连胜——太惊人了!另一方面,米德日兰在最近的一场比赛中未能击败Bröndy,主场2-2战平,令人失望。在此之前的一场比赛中,奥尔堡略胜一筹,但米德日兰在客场2-1获胜。在博彩市场上,他们肯定又一次被高估了,我们当然会利用这一点!东道主没有卡利西尔,达尔,林德,马苏普和罗克亚,但博彩市场对此反应过度。我们有70%的机会赢第八次与东道主的+0.5个球的障碍选项。西尔克伯格有43.5%的胜算。

我今天还发了一个意甲免费分析!请记得查收!

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