DJURGARDENS - MALMO

One more time, Malmo is the underdog, and one more time, we bet on them.

Djurgardens has one of the best squads in the league, but are struggling a lot in the start of the season. Their defense isn’t solid anymore, are conceding chances and goals while they have been the top 2-3 best defenses of the Allsvenskan in the last years.

This season they have conceded 7 goals in 8 games, and only managed to keep the goal to nil twice (in 8 rounds played). Their results have been so poor too, as they only managed three victories: Norrkoping (mid-table team), Sirius (mid-table team) and Degerfors (relegation team).

They have lost some key players in the transfer market such as topscorer Chilfuya, and he hasn’t any good replacements now.

On the other hand, Malmo is the main reason for this pick. They are the richest club in the league, with the best squad, main title contender, and the winner of the Championship in recent years.

This season they are struggling to score goals (just 8 in 8 games), but also showed a very strong defense, with only 3 goals conceded so far. Two of them came in their last game vs AIK (best team of the league along with Malmo), so they conceded just 1 goal in the other 7 games.

For sure the defeat against AIK will have an impact here: Malmo will be very motivated to at least don't lose. They are a team who use to lose only 3-4 games per season, and I can’t see two defeats in a row by them, especially against a team like Djurgarden who isn’t at their best moment.

Djurgarden have been unlucky and underperforming a bit in some games, but here the rival is just too strong and highly motivated to think that they can make a perfect game, which is what they need to take the three points.

This will be a very equal game between two top teams who aren’t at their best level. But Malmo has a much better squad and I can’t really see them suffering two defeats in a row. Both teams played a Cup game 2 months ago and Malmo won 0:1.

SAMPDORIA - FIORENTINA

Motivation bet here.

After yesterday’s results, Sampdoria is officially in the safe zone. This is great news for them, as they had a very difficult calendar with Fiorentina and Inter Milan fighting for the title in the last round. Furthermore, the new coach Giampaolo had the same bad results as the previous one, but he managed to achieve the target: avoid relegation.

So today the team will be relaxed and without motivation. In terms of results, their season has been so bad with 21 defeats (2nd team with more). Their numbers in the last rounds are numbers of a relegation team, with 12 defeats in the last 20 games (more than Genoa who are already relegated or Cagliari who are in the relegation zone).

They have been the team of the Serie A with less expected goals (xG) this season.

On the other hand, Fiorentina has a lot of motivation for this game. Their recent results have been poor with 4 defeats in a row, but achieved a very important victory last weekend against Roma at home (2:0) to achieve confidence and continue with high chances to get a European spot.

They are right now in the Conference League (7th), with the same points as Atalanta (8th), one below Roma (6th - Europa League zone) and three below Lazio (5th). So winning today, they’ll have even chances to fight for the Europa League spot.

The victory here is mandatory to at least guarantee the Conference League ticket, because their last round will be pretty difficult against Juventus. So at least, they must guarantee their current position with a victory.

The season has been a big success for Fiorentina. They have been a very difficult team to beat and have dominated almost all games: they are the 2nd team of the Serie A with a higher possession average - 57.7% - just below Napoli.

Fiorentina has a golden chance here after the unexpected draw of Roma and defeat of Atalanta. Even the rival is perfect: has nothing on play and will have lack of motivation. Big quality and motivation difference here, it should be enough to see an away win.

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

DJURGARDENS -马尔默

马尔默又一次输了，我们又一次赌他们赢。

尤尔加花园拥有联盟中最好的球队之一，但在赛季开始时却遇到了很多困难。他们的防守不再稳固，失去了很多机会和进球，而他们在过去的几年里一直是阿尔斯文斯坎最好的2-3个防守。

本赛季，他们在8场比赛中丢了7球，只有2次(在8轮比赛中)将比分保持在零。他们的成绩也很糟糕，他们只取得了三场胜利:诺科平(中档队)、天狼星(中档队)和德格福斯(降级队)。

他们在转会市场上失去了一些关键球员，比如头号射手奇尔福亚，而他现在没有合适的替代者。

另一方面，马尔默是这个选择的主要原因。他们是联盟中最富有的俱乐部，拥有最好的阵容，主要的冠军争夺者，近年来的冠军得主。

本赛季他们很难进球(8场比赛只有8球)，但也显示了非常强大的防守，到目前为止只丢了3球。他们中的两个是在上一场对阵AIK(与马尔默一起是联盟最好的球队)的比赛中出场的，所以他们在其他7场比赛中只丢了1球。

当然，对AIK的失败将会在这里产生影响:马尔默将会非常有动力至少不要输。他们是一支每个赛季只输3-4场比赛的球队，我不认为他们会连输两场，特别是面对像尤尔加登这样不在最佳状态的球队。

尤加登在一些比赛中表现不佳，但在这里，他的对手太强大了，他们认为自己可以做出一场完美的比赛，这是他们获得三分所需要的。

这将是两支没有达到最佳水平的顶级球队之间的一场非常平等的比赛。但马尔默有一个更好的阵容，我真的不能看到他们遭受两连败。两个月前，两队进行了一场杯赛，马尔默0:1获胜。

桑普多利亚-佛罗伦萨

动机的赌注。

昨天的结果公布后，桑普多利亚正式进入了安全区域。这对他们来说是个好消息，因为他们的赛程很艰难，因为佛罗伦萨和国际米兰在最后一轮争夺冠军。此外，新教练詹保罗的表现和前任一样糟糕，但他成功实现了目标:避免降级。

所以今天车队会很放松，没有动力。从结果来看，他们本赛季输了21场(第二多)。他们在最后一轮的数字是一个降级球队的数字，在过去的20场比赛中输了12场(比已经降级的热那亚和在降级区的卡利亚里还要多)。

他们是本赛季意甲中进球较少的球队。

另一方面，佛罗伦萨对这场比赛充满了动力。他们最近的成绩很差，连败4场，但在上周末主场对阵罗马的比赛中取得了一场非常重要的胜利(2:0)，这让他们有了信心，并有很大的机会进入欧洲赛场。

他们现在在联赛中排名第七，和亚特兰大一样(第八)，比罗马(欧洲联赛区第六)落后一分，比拉齐奥(第五)落后三分。所以如果今天胜利了，他们将有机会争夺欧罗巴联赛的席位。

在这里的胜利是必须的，至少可以保证联赛的入场券，因为他们的最后一轮对阵尤文图斯将是非常困难的。因此，他们至少必须以一场胜利来保证自己目前的地位。

本赛季佛罗伦萨取得了巨大的成功。他们是一支很难打败的球队，几乎控制了所有的比赛:他们是意甲第二支平均控球率更高的球队——57.7%，仅次于那不勒斯。

在意外战平罗马和击败亚特兰大之后，佛罗伦萨在这里有一个黄金机会。即使是对手也是完美的:没有什么可玩的，会缺乏动力。这里有很大的质量和动力差异，这应该足以看到客场胜利。