Ilves from Tampere welcome visitors from Mariehamn, the capital of Åland for this Finnish Veikkusliiga round 7 clash Sunday evening time Beijing time. The level is not very high by European standards and high-scoring matches are rare. Almost all teams have a pretty solid defense though but the tempo is low and few players are skilled offensively. A 1-0 home win is a pretty probable final score here. The probability of Ilves winning is 57%. They are better than the visitors in all areas of the game and I have ranked them much higher than “The Islanders” in my power ratings that illustrate the team’s pure class. The biggest difference is in offensive creativity. Ilves also have a bigger players’ salary budget than the visitors and their young player keep improving all the the time. They have also got a new very good player, KuPS-legend Pennanen for this season. He is sort of a father figure and an important addition to the team also off the picth.

We should not be fooled by the current standings – both teams have seven points in the bank. We must also remember that Ilves have faced tougher opponents on average than the visitors. The visitors have to travel all the way from Åland, which is an autonomous area located between Finland and Sweden. Traveling always takes energy and IFK Mariehamn have never been a good team on the road. Indeed, they heavily depend on taking points at home at the Wiklöf Holding Arena in front of fans that really love their team! They did exactly that in their most recent match against the second-best team after HJK Helsinki in this league, KuPS, who are over-rated by the betting market though after a good start to the season. It was a 1-1 draw and a relatively balanced battle. KuPS had a 53% ball possession and created more scoring chances. The hosts had more scoring attempts though. This good home performance has been given too much emphasis on the betting market and the today’s visitors are, as a result, over-rated. Before this they defeated another team from Åland in Suomen Cup 6-0 but this teams consists of very bad amateur players and IFK Mariehamn were around 95% favorites to win according to the betting market. In their most recent match on the road Inter Turku crushed them 4-0. At time the visitors looked totally pathetic in this match – especially with the ball when they tried to create offensive danger. They quite balanced ball possession simply gives a wrong impression of the match. They did take a point from HIFK away from home through a 1-1 draw five weeks ago but HIFK, with a huge number of new players, were in a very bad state then and are at the moment the rock-bottom team in Veikkausliiga.

Ilves, on the other hand, are a strong home team and have won two of their latest Veikkausliiga home matches. The enthusiastic - by Finnish standards – home crowd is a big boost for them and especially in daytime matches in the week-end there will by a big number of fans cheering for them. Two weeks ago, they comfortably defeated SJK from Seinäjoki 3-1. SJK are dangerous team but have under-performed so far. Ilves played in a very mature and organized way. SJK have had a bad atmosphere in the team and they will surely climb up the tables as the season progresses. On the 23rd of April Ilves defeated the surprisingly good newly promoted team VPS 3-2. They have lost to KuPS at home this season 1-2 but the young team performed okay, and draw would not have been an unjustified result. In their most recent match, they lost to their own reserve/youth team Ilves 2 1-2 in Suomen Cup! It was a huge upset and the deciding goal was a very unlucky one from Ilves’s perspective.. Ilves must be embarrassed by this result and will come into this match full of motivation to prove their skills. I want to add that Ilves 2 play in Kakkonen, the third tier of Finnish football. The level of this league is low, players are amateurs. Some guys do reserve a small salary though. This shocking loss got a lot of media attention here in Finland and is affecting the odds too much here. A week ago Ilves fought well against the mighty HJK and were even leading 1-0 late into the second half before Jair scored twice for HJK. HJK were the better team but it was a promising performance from Ilves and they could easily have taken a draw! As a Finnish person I know this league extremely well and sometimes have information that is not publicly available.. Indeed, my fans can expect exceptionally good results following my picks on Veikkausliiga and Ykkönen, the second tier!

GOOD LUCK!

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

按照欧洲的标准，这一水平并不高，高得分的比赛很少。几乎所有的球队都有一个相当坚固的防守，但是节奏很低，很少有球员有技术的进攻。主场1-0的胜利在这里是很有可能的。伊尔维斯获胜的概率是57%。他们在游戏的各个方面都比客队好，我给他们的力量评级比“the Islanders”高得多，这说明了这支球队的纯粹等级。最大的区别在于进攻性的创造力。伊尔维斯的球员工资预算也比客队高，他们的年轻球员也一直在进步。他们也得到了一名新的非常优秀的球员，库普斯的传奇人物本赛季的佩纳宁。他有点像个父亲，是球队的重要成员。

我们不应该被目前的积分榜愚弄——两队都有7分。我们也必须记住，伊尔维斯面对的对手比客队更强大。游客必须从位于芬兰和瑞典之间的自治地区Åland出发。旅行总是需要能量，IFK玛丽汉姆从来都不是一支好车队。事实上，他们非常依赖于在Wiklöf主场，在真正热爱他们球队的球迷面前得分!他们在最近的一场比赛中就做到了这一点，对手是本联赛中仅次于HJK赫尔辛基的第二强队，即被博彩市场高估的KuPS。这是一场1:1的平局，也是一场相对平衡的比赛。他们有53%的控球率，创造了更多的得分机会。东道主有更多的进球机会。这种良好的主场表现被过分强调了博彩市场，因此，今天的客队被高估了。在此之前，他们在索门杯6-0击败了来自Åland的另一支球队，但这支球队由非常糟糕的业余球员组成，根据博彩市场，IFK玛丽汉姆有95%的可能性获胜。在最近的一场比赛中，图尔库4-0击败了他们。客队在这场比赛中看起来很可悲，特别是在控球方面，他们试图制造进攻危险。他们很平衡控球，只是给人一种错误的比赛印象。五周前，他们在客场1-1战平HIFK，从HIFK那里拿了一分，但当时HIFK有大量的新球员，状态非常糟糕，现在是Veikkausliiga的最差球队。

另一方面，伊尔维斯是一支强大的主场球队，最近在维考斯利加主场赢得了两场比赛。以芬兰人的标准来看，家乡球迷的热情对他们来说是一个巨大的推动，尤其是在周末白天的比赛中，会有大量的球迷为他们欢呼。两周前，他们从Seinäjoki 3:1轻松击败了SJK。SJK是一支危险的球队，但迄今为止表现不佳。伊尔维斯踢得非常成熟和有组织。索克在球队里的气氛很糟糕，随着赛季的进展，他们肯定会爬上积分榜。4月23日，伊尔维斯以3比2的比分击败了新晋级的VPS。他们本赛季在主场1比2输给了KuPS，但年轻的球队表现良好，平局不会是不公平的结果。在最近的一场比赛中，他们在锁门杯上以2:1输给了自己的预备队/青年队伊尔维斯!这是一个巨大的颠覆，从伊尔维斯的角度来看，决定性的进球是一个非常不幸的进球。伊尔维斯一定会对这样的结果感到尴尬，并将在这场比赛中充满动力来证明自己的技术。我想补充的是，伊尔维斯效力于芬兰的第三级球队卡卡宁。这个联赛的水平很低，球员都是业余的。不过有些人还是会留一点钱。这场令人震惊的失利引起了芬兰媒体的广泛关注，也极大地影响了比赛的胜算。一周前，伊尔维斯在对阵强大的港队时打得很好，甚至在下半场末以1-0领先，直到贾尔为港队进了两球。hkk是一支更好的球队，但伊尔维斯的表现很有希望，他们本可以轻松取得平局!作为一个芬兰人，我对这个联盟非常了解，有时候我知道一些不公开的信息。事实上，我的粉丝可以期待非常好的结果，在我选择的Veikkausliiga和Ykkönen，二级!