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俄罗斯职业体育分析师,是欧洲最知名的分析师之一。
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BVB's last home game in 2021/22 多特本赛季最后一个主场比赛

2022-05-14

比赛分析

德甲

已完赛

星期六2022-05-14 21:30

解读理由

I am going with another bet on a team without proper motivation, which in our case is Borussia Dortmund. The trick here is Hertha’s target for the game - to avoid a loss at all costs. A point here will guarantee they stay up in the Bundesliga for another season. We all saw how this approach “worked” a week ago when fully unmotivated Mainz, one of the worst teams on the road in the league, came and smashed Hertha 2-1 and the scoreline could’ve and should’ve been bigger. Mainz had 65% of the ball, took 8 corners and had no issues bossing Hertha in front of a packed Olympiastadion.

Now a week later Hertha’s task remains basically the same - avoid defeat and hope for help in the other game from Koln, who face Stuttgart.

Considering Borussia is definitely a greater force than Mainz and with them playing the last match of the season in front of faithful fans, I reckon that these odds on Dortmund win represent a fair share of value. Regardless of the fact I am trusting a team with 0 motivation.

According to kicker.de hosts are planning to go with all the big guns today, including Haaland, who is saying good-bye to Germany having signed a contract with Manchester City. Another twist of extra motivation for the home team, in my opinion, as he’d definitely want to give the fans something to cheer about at the “last dance”.

Bottom line, it may so happen that at some point Hertha will even become unmotivated with the positive news coming from Stuttgart. If Koln is leading, even a loss in Dortmund will keep the Berlin club in the Bundesliga.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

我要再赌一支没有足够动力的球队,在我们的情况下是多特蒙德。这里的诀窍是赫塔的目标——不惜一切代价避免失败。在这里获得一分将保证他们能在德甲再呆上一个赛季。一周前,我们都看到了这种方法是如何“奏效”的,当时完全没有动力的美因茨,联盟中最糟糕的客场球队之一,来了,2:1击败了赫塔,比分本可以也应该更大。美因茨有65%的球权,8次角球,在拥挤的奥林匹克球场上对赫塔毫无问题。

现在一周过去了,赫塔的任务基本上还是一样的——避免失败,并希望在另一场对阵斯图加特的比赛中得到科尔恩的帮助。

考虑到博鲁西亚绝对是一支比美因茨更强大的球队,而且他们在赛季的最后一场比赛中面对着忠实的球迷,我认为多特蒙德获胜的几率是公平的。不管事实如何,我信任一个没有动力的团队。

据踢球者透露,东道主计划今天带着所有的大家伙一起去,包括哈兰德,他已经和曼城签订了一份合同,即将告别德国。在我看来,这是主队的另一个额外动力,因为他肯定想给球迷们一些在“最后一支舞”上欢呼的东西。

底线是,有可能在某一时刻赫塔甚至会因为来自斯图加特的积极消息而失去动力。如果科隆领先,即使在多特蒙德失利,柏林俱乐部也将继续留在德甲。

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