Augsburg vs Greuther Furth

Augsburg host Greuther Furth at WWK Arena for this round 34 of German Bundesliga, which is a top3 league in the world. This is the last round of Bundesliga and neither team have anything to play for left. In these kinds of situations the home team always have a good chance of winning - the difference compared to a normal say mid-season match is substantial. Moreover, Augsburg are a much better team by raw class and will surely want to entertain their fans and thank them for the support this season. The chance of my fans and me winning a 7th pick in a row is clearly over 60%. Neither team have been competitive in Bundesliga this season but without any pressure I expect a relatively offensive and high-scoring match with quite good entertainment-value. Even the visitors are capable of scoring and did in fact find the net against two good teams in their two most recent matches. Their defense is horribly vulnerable though.. Dortmund beat them 3-1 last week and on the 29th of April they took a point from Union Berlin through a 1-1 draw. They did not, however, really deserve the point as Union Berlin were clearly the better team and recorded more completed passes, attacks and dangerous attacks. The expected goals number for Union Berlin was 1.01 and just 0.19 for the poor visitors. This lucky result seems to excite the betting market – resulting in over-valuation.

The visitors have not won any of their games on the road in Bundesliga this season and have lost 12 of the 16 away games. That’s a pathetic record for the rock-bottom team with a stunningly bad goal difference of 27:80! Augsburg are a decent team at home and for example crushed Wolfsburg 3-0 in April. After that we easily won a pick when they defeated a good team Mainz 2-1. Moreover, earlier this year they took a point from the second-best team, Dortmund! It was a 1-1 draw and Augsburg even recorded more dangerous attacks and expected goals - 0.92-0.69! In their most recent match Augsburg had no chance against fired up RB Leipzig though and lost 0-4 away from home. Before this a good and motivated team beat the hosts 4-1 but it was a more balanced game than the result suggests. The expected goals ratio was 2.09-2.72. This is a statistic commonly used by most professional soccer bettors.

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

这是德甲的最后一轮，两支球队都没有余力。在这种情况下，主队总是有很好的获胜机会——与正常的赛季中期比赛相比，差异是巨大的。此外，奥格斯堡是一支更好的球队，肯定会想要娱乐他们的球迷，并感谢他们本赛季的支持。我和我的粉丝连续7次被选中的几率显然超过了60%这两支球队在本赛季的德甲都没有竞争力，但没有任何压力，我希望这是一场相对进攻性和高得分的比赛，有很好的娱乐价值。甚至客队也有进球的能力，在最近的两场比赛中，他们确实在两支强队的比赛中进球。他们的防守非常脆弱。多特蒙德上周以3-1击败了他们，4月29日，他们以1-1战平柏林联队，获得一分。然而，他们确实不值得得分，因为柏林联盟显然是一支更好的球队，记录了更多的传球、进攻和危险的进攻。柏林联盟的预期进球是1.01，而可怜的客队的预期进球只有0.19。这一幸运结果似乎刺激了博彩市场，导致估值过高。

客队本赛季在德甲的客场比赛中没有赢过一场，16场客场比赛中输掉了12场。这是一个可怜的记录，垫底的球队的进球数是惊人的27:80!奥格斯堡在主场表现不错，比如在四月份3-0击败了沃尔夫斯堡。在那之后，当他们2-1击败一支优秀的美因茨队时，我们轻松赢得了选秀权。此外，今年早些时候，他们从第二好的多特蒙德那里拿了一分!这是一场1-1的平局，奥格斯堡甚至记录了更多危险的进攻和预期进球- 0.92-0.69!在最近的一场比赛中，奥格斯堡没有机会战胜劲旅莱比锡，客场4 - 0输掉了比赛。在此之前，一支优秀而积极的球队4-1击败了东道主，但这是一场比结果显示的更平衡的比赛。预期进球数为2.09-2.72。