In my opinion Pacos Ferreira have really good chances to avoid big loss in today's match up. +1.5 asian handicap looks like very smart bet.

It's last round of the season and both teams play for nothing. I believe hosts have bigger motivation to win because it's prestigious match for them against big opposition front of home crowd and they wants to show up.

Both clubs in good relationship, Benfica loaning players to Pacos (Nuno Santos this year) so I don't think they wants to make damage on friends in such not important match.

Pacos is solid team at home - they didn't lost in 24 of last 33 home league matches. Defensive formation is solid as they kept clean sheet 10 times in current season and they the best players (according to the ratings) are defensive players Antuned and Luiz Carlos - both available today.

Benfica looked extremely poor in last match at home against Porto, they lost 0:1. Morale in team must be on very low level. They had huge problems with creativity - only 0.31 expected goals scored in that game. In last 3 matches Benfica scored only once.

Benfica also have huge squad problems before today's match, they are without 8 first team players! First goalkeeper Vlachodomis, defenders Grimaldo & Otamendi, midfielders Weigl, Rafa & Ramos, winger Everton and best scorer Nunez (26 goals in 28 matches!!!).

On those circumstances I see bigger chances for Pacos than bookies wants to suggest for us in their odds.

在我看来，帕科斯·费雷拉在今天的比赛中有很好的机会避免惨败。

这是本赛季的最后一轮，两支球队都没有任何目标。我相信主队有更大的获胜动力，因为这对他们来说是一场有声望的比赛，他们在主场迎战强队，他们想有好表现。

两家球队关系良好，本菲卡将球员租借给帕科斯（今年是努诺桑托斯），所以我认为他们不想在如此不重要的比赛中伤害朋友。

费雷拉在主场是一支稳定的球队——他们在过去的 33 场主场联赛中有 24 场没有输球。防守阵型很稳固，他们在本赛季保持不失球 10 次，他们最好的球员（根据收视率）是防守球员安图内德和路易斯卡洛斯——他们今天都可以上场。

本菲卡在上一场主场对阵波尔图的比赛中表现非常糟糕，他们以0：1输掉了比赛。团队士气必须处于非常低的水平。他们的创造力有很大的问题——只有 0.31那场比赛的预期进球数。近3场比赛，本菲卡只进一球。

本菲卡在今天的比赛之前也有很大的阵容问题，他们缺少8名一线队球员！第一门将弗拉霍多米斯、后卫格里马尔多和奥塔门迪、中场魏格尔、拉法和拉莫斯、边锋埃弗顿和最佳射手努涅斯（28 场比赛打进 26 球！！！）。

在这种情况下，我认为费雷拉的机会更大。