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葡萄牙人,精通葡超和葡甲赛事
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High confidence

2022-05-08

比赛分析

葡超

已完赛

星期日2022-05-08 22:30

解读理由

Gil Vicente are the sensation of this season with an amazing work by the players and especially by the coach Ricardo Soares, they are currently in the 5th position fighting with Vitoria Guimaraes for this position. Yesterday Guimaraes failed to win against Boavista, but luckily for them they were able to draw as they played the last minutes with 10 players but in the last second of the game the player from Boavista - Yusupha Njie missed a clear chance without the goalkeeper in the net and with that point Gil Vicente need to win this game as the draw or the defeat is the same for them as in the next game they will go to Estadio D. Afonso Henriques to play against Guimaraes and the stadium will be completely full and it will put a lot of pressure on Gil Vicente's players. They are in a terrible shape with only 1 win on the last 9 games and some defeats, but some of those games were not deserved as they created much more and more clear chances than their opponents, their expected goals (xG) were almost the double than the opponents in half of those games that they failed to win. In the last game against Sporting they lost 4-1 but were a bit unlucky in my opinion, they had 2 goals disallowed by VAR and one penalty that the VAR cancelled. They will have an open game against Tondela that are really affected after the last game where they could have score and threw an amazing chance of winning the game. They have no absences as Vitor Carvalho is back after suspension. The individual quality from Gil Vicente is clearly better than Tondela, they have one of the best goalscorers of the league - Fran Navarro, one of the best wingers from the league who was already sold to Atletico Madrid - Samuel Lino and the midfielder in best shape from the league - Pedrinho.

Probable line-up: Frelih; Ze Carlos - Ruben Fernandes - Lucas Cunha - Talocha; Vitor Carvalho - Pedrinho - Fujimoto; Samuel Lino - Leautey and Fran Navarro.

Tondela are a really good club with a solid project in the last seasons. In the last 3 seasons they had always spanish coaches, first was Natxo Gonzalez who did only one season and then Pako Ayesteran who started this season and was doing an amazing job in my opinion, he put them into the final of the Portuguese Cup (he only did the 1st leg but did the most important as they won 3-0 in the 1st leg and then the new coach drew 1-1) for the 1st time in their history. It wasn't explained by the president why he decided to sack Pako Ayesteran, but then they decided to buy Nuno Campos who made only 10 games on his professional career and was on Santa Clara - was sacked after that due to bad results. His debut was a victory against Maritimo as away by 3-1, but after that they did not win more with 3 draws and 2 defeats and they were completely overplayed in the 2nd leg of Portuguese Cup against Mafra (from the 2nd division). In the last game they played against a Pacos de Ferreira that were playing without any objective and even so they were not able to win the game, the winger Rafael Barbosa failed the best goal chance I saw this season that could give the 2-0, and then they conceded a goal in the minute 90 by Lucas Silva. I do think that it affected a lot the team and cannot see them motivated and having a good reaction here against this strong Gil Vicente. They need to win this game if they want to avoid relegation places or atleast end in the play-off position which is not the worst scenario as draw or losing is the same as they have only 1 more point than Moreirense and Moreirense have advantage if they end the league with the same points. They will need to play an open game and eyes to eyes with this strong Gil Vicente. I cannot see them winning this game honestly. Tondela have important absences for this final because they received yellow card against Pacos de Ferreira and so are now suspended - the best centre-back of the team, international for France U21 Sagnan, the topscorer of the team Joao Pedro and the best right-back Bebeto.

Probable line-up: Pedro Trigueira; Tiago Almeida - Eduardo Quaresma - Manu Hernando - Ricardo Alves - Khacef; Undabarrena - Pedro Augusto; Rafael Barbosa - Salvador Agra and Boselli.


吉尔维森特是本赛季的黑马,球员们,尤其是主教练里卡多·苏亚雷斯的出色表现,他们目前排在第 5 位,与维多利亚·吉马良斯争夺这个位置。昨天吉马良斯未能战胜博阿维斯塔,但幸运的是,他们在最后几分钟与 10 名球员打成平局,但在比赛的最后一秒,博阿维斯塔的球员-尤苏法·恩杰在没有守门员的情况下错过了一次明显的机会。因此吉尔·维森特需要赢得这场比赛,因为平局或失败对他们来说是一样的,因为在下一场比赛中,他们将前往 Estadio D. Afonso Henriques 与吉马良斯比赛,体育场将完全座无虚席。会给吉尔维森特的球员带来很大压力。他们的状态很糟糕,在过去的 9 场比赛中只赢了 1 场,也有一些失利,但其中一些比赛是不应该的,因为他们创造的机会比他们的对手、他们的预期进球很多(xG) ,在他们未能赢得的比赛中有一半是对手的两倍。在上一场对阵葡萄牙体育的比赛中,他们以 1-4 输掉了比赛,但在我看来有点不走运,他们有 2 个进球被 VAR 取消,还有一个点球被 VAR 取消。他们将与通德拉进行一场开放比赛,在上一场比赛后他们本可以进球,这确实受到了影响。他们没有缺席,维托尔卡瓦略在停赛后回归。吉尔维森特的个人能力明显优于 Tondela,他们拥有联盟中最好的射手之一 - Fran Navarro,联盟中最好的边锋之一,已经被卖给了马德里竞技队 - Samuel Lino 和状态最佳的中场——佩德里尼奥。

通德拉是一家出色的俱乐部,在过去的几个赛季中有着扎实的表现。在过去的三个赛季中,他们一直在聘请西班牙教练,首先是只执教一个赛季的纳特索·冈萨雷斯(Natxo Gonzalez),然后是本赛季开始并且在我看来做得非常出色的帕科·阿耶斯特兰(Pako Ayesteran),他将他们带入了葡萄牙杯决赛(他只做了第一回合,但做了最重要的,因为他们在第一回合以 3-0 获胜,然后新教练带队取得 1-1 平局。主席没有解释为什么他决定解雇 Pako Ayesteran,但随后他们决定买下在职业生涯中只打了 10 场比赛并且在圣克拉拉的 Nuno Campos——之后由于糟糕的结果被解雇了。他的处子秀是客场3-1战胜马里蒂莫,但之后他们3平2负的胜率并没有提高,在葡萄牙杯第二回合对阵马夫拉(来自乙级联赛)的比赛中完全被夸大了。在上一场比赛中,他们对阵的是帕科斯·德·费雷拉(Pacos de Ferreira)没有任何目标的球队,即使他们无法赢得比赛,边锋拉斐尔·巴博萨错过了我本赛季看到的最好的进球机会,可以给 2-0,然后他们在第 90 分钟丢球。我认为这对团队产生了很大影响,对强大的吉尔维森特可能很难有良好的反应。如果他们想避免降级或至少在附加赛位置结束,他们需要赢得这场比赛,这不是最糟糕的情况,因为平局或输球是一样的,因为他们只比莫雷伦斯多 1 分,如果他们有优势,莫雷伦斯就有优势以相同的积分结束联赛。他们需要与吉尔维森特进行一场开放的比赛,并保持对攻。我认为他们无法赢得这场比赛。通德拉在这场比赛有重要的缺席,法国 U21 国国脚Sagnan,Joao Pedro 队的头号射手和最佳右后卫 Bebeto无法出场。

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