Bighton vs Manchester United

Brighton host Manchester United for this English Premier League round 38 clash at Amex Stadium. A tight match is in the cards, but I really cannot understand why the betting market sees the visitors as favorites.. Yes, I am of course aware of the fact that Brighton have not done well at home recently and for sure do not have as high a home advantage as many other teams – Newcastle being one of the teams with a much higher than average home advantage. ManU are not much better a team at the moment which is hard to believe but that the harsh reality! The home advantage is still there and should not be ignored! I have previously written about the meaning of motivation - or on the contrary - how lack of having big stakes affects probabilities. At home all Premier League teams have at least decent motivation and this is the case especially when facing a legendary big team like Man United! Technically the visitors are still fighting for a top4 and a Championship position but in reality, they will almost certainly place 5th or 6th meaning that they will play in Europa League next season..

The season has been a huge disappointment for a team of Manu’s caliber and resources. Many of the visitors players have looked frustrated - even unmotivated lately, especially away from home. They have now lost 4 away matches in a row. Even lowly Everton beat them a month ago! A long list of players will leave the club for next season and they will also have a new manager from the Netherlands. It seems as if Man United have their focus on the next season already. They have defended in a lazy and shaky way for a long time and I do not expect this to chance today. They can of course win here as they have Ronaldo and Fernandes to list a few but Brighton should be slim favorites at home. We must also remember that Manchester United have taken 6 points more than they would have deserved in terms of expected points this season and still get too much respect on the betting market. One of the reason is that million of people support them and bet on their favorite club – even at low odds - ignoring the current level of the team Brighton, on the other hand have been unlucky this season and are once again under-valued!

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英格兰超级联赛第38轮在美国运通体育场举行，布莱顿主场迎战曼联。一场势均力敌的比赛已经是板上钉钉的事了，但我真的不明白为什么博彩市场会把客队视为夺冠热门。是的，我当然知道布莱顿最近在主场表现不佳的事实，当然也不像其他球队那样有很高的主场优势——纽卡斯尔是主场优势高于平均水平的球队之一。ManU现在并没有更好的球队，这很难让人相信，但这是残酷的现实!主场优势依然存在，不容忽视!我以前写过动机的含义——或者相反——缺乏重大赌注如何影响可能性。在主场，所有的英超球队都有足够的动力，尤其是面对像曼联这样的传奇大球队时。从技术上讲，客队仍在为前四和冠军争夺，但实际上，他们几乎肯定会排在第五或第六名，这意味着他们将在下赛季参加欧罗巴联赛。

这个赛季对于一支拥有马努能力和资源的球队来说是一个巨大的失望。许多客队球员看起来很沮丧，甚至最近没有动力，尤其是在客场。他们已经连输了四场客场比赛。即使是地位低下的埃弗顿也在一个月前击败了他们!一长串球员将在下赛季离开俱乐部，他们也将有一位来自荷兰的新教练。曼联似乎已经把焦点放在了下个赛季。很长一段时间以来，他们一直在以一种懒惰和摇摇晃晃的方式防守，我不希望今天发生这种情况。他们当然可以在这里获胜，因为他们有罗纳尔多和费尔南德斯，但布莱顿在主场应该是微弱的热门。我们也必须记住曼联本赛季比他们应得的预期积分多拿了6分，仍然在博彩市场上得到了太多的尊重。其中一个原因是，数百万人支持他们，把赌注押在他们最喜欢的俱乐部上——即使赔率很低——忽略了布莱顿队目前的水平，另一方面，本赛季运气不佳，再次被低估!