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A great pick for La Liga today!

2022-05-01

比赛分析

西甲

已完赛

星期一2022-05-02 00:30

解读理由

It won’t be easy but guests should win here.

Rayo Vallecano is already in a safe zone, and their performances in the last rounds have been so poor. In fact, they are 17th if we look at the last 10 games, 19th if we look at the last 15. This is their real level, as they have been overperforming a lot in the first half of the season.

The lack of targets means that Rayo is playing with less motivation, and I’m expecting the same today especially after the victory this midweek against Barcelona in Camp Nou. Small teams use to make a huge decrease in their level after a big victory (Camp Nou, Santiago Bernabeu, etc).

The big change in Rayo has been at home, where they were the best team of the league in the first half of the season (unbeaten for 10 games with 8 victories and 2 draws) and now are winless in the last 6 with 4 defeats and 2 draws. But that’s normal when you dont have any target and your season has been a big success, as it has been for them.

On the other hand, Real Sociedad needs to win this game. They are in 6th position, but need to win for two reasons:

  • Be sure that will hold that position (Europa League), as Villarreal is just 3 points below
  • Why not, try to fight for Champions League position which is just 6 points above. 3 if they win this match, as Atletico Madrid (4th) already played and lost yesterday.


Their schedule is pretty difficult: Levante (improving a lot and fighting to avoid relegation), Cadiz (fighting to avoid relegation) and the two finals: Villarreal and Atletico Madrid.

This means that they must win this match against a team with nothing on play, because it will be the easiest one until the end of the season. And after Atletico Madrid and Viillarreal’s defeats yesterday, they have a great chance to make the difference with Villarreal bigger and try to fight for the Champions League.

Real Sociedad is improving a lot in the last rounds, mainly thanks to the recovery of several players who have been injured during the season. They lost last weekend against Barcelona but their last performances have been so good: only lost two games of the last 9 (Barcelona and Real Madrid) whilst only Betis (5th) and Sevilla (2nd) managed to steal them a point with a draw. The rest of the games were victories.

Guests have much more motivation here, are in better form and have more quality. It won’t be easy but seeing their upcoming games, the victory here should be mandatory for their targets.

这不是一件容易的事,但客人们应该会赢。

拉约·瓦列卡诺已经在安全地带了,他们在最后几轮的表现非常糟糕。事实上,如果我们看过去10场比赛,他们是第17名,如果我们看过去15场比赛,他们是第19名。这是他们真正的水平,因为他们在前半个赛季表现太过出色了。

缺少目标意味着罗约在比赛中缺乏动力,我希望今天也是如此,特别是在周中战胜巴塞罗那之后。小球队通常会在大胜后大幅降低水平(诺坎普、伯纳乌等)。

Rayo的最大变化是在主场,他们在前半个赛季是联赛中最好的球队(10场不败,8胜2平),现在在最近的6场比赛中4负2平无胜。但是当你没有任何目标的时候,这是很正常的,你的赛季已经取得了巨大的成功,就像他们一样。

另一方面,皇家社会需要赢得这场比赛。他们排在第6位,但需要赢得比赛有两个原因:

可以肯定的是他们会保住这个位置(欧罗巴联赛),因为比利亚雷亚尔只落后3分

为什么不呢,试着为欧冠的位置而战,欧冠的位置只比我们高6分。如果他们赢了这场比赛,3分,因为马德里竞技(第四位)昨天已经打了,但输了。

他们的赛程相当艰难:莱万特(进步很大,在为保级而战),加的斯(在为保级而战),还有两个决赛:比利亚雷亚尔和马德里竞技。

这意味着他们必须赢得这场比赛,对手是一支没有任何比赛的球队,因为这将是赛季结束前最容易的球队。在昨天马竞和比利亚雷亚尔的失利后,他们有一个很好的机会让比利亚雷亚尔变得更强大,努力争取冠军联赛。

皇家社会在最后几轮取得了很大的进步,这主要归功于几名在赛季中受伤的球员的康复。他们上周末输给了巴塞罗那,但他们最近的表现非常好:9场比赛中只输了两场(巴塞罗那和皇家马德里),只有贝蒂斯(第五)和塞维利亚(第二)以平局偷走了他们的一分。剩下的比赛都是胜利。

在这里,客人的积极性更高,状态更好,素质更高。这并不容易,但看到他们即将到来的比赛,在这里的胜利应该是他们的目标。

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