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英国亚马逊员工,常年现场看各级别联赛,非常熟悉球队,有十多年经验盈利丰厚。
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What will happen at Goodison Park today? 埃弗顿能够主场取胜吗?

2021-01-30

比赛分析

英超

已完赛

星期六2021-01-30 20:30

解读理由

In my opinion Everton have really good chances to make 3 points in today's match up.

Everton currently have very good streak against Newcastle as they won 10 of last 15 matches against them. Everton lost only one of last 16 home Premier League matches against Newcastle. In previous season match between both teams on Goodison Park finished with draw 2:2, but that should never happened - Everton played better and had comfortable lead 2:0, they lost concentration and conceded two goals in last 2 minutes of game. For sure today team will be more focused.

Everton don't have any new absences before today's game. Key central midfielder Doucoure is available again and this is great info for the team. Everton should be able to control middle zone without too many problems. Andre Gomes as well looked very good in last game against Leicester. In last round Everton made 1 point at home against Leicester (1:1). Everton looked very solid in defense, like in previous weeks (they conceded only 6 goals in last 9 matches). They were dangerous upfront, but they sitted too deep in defense. They allowed Leicester to control middle zone. Draw wasn't bad result at all, Leicester is in great form and is top3 team at the moment, but Everton manager Ancelotti have big dreams, he wants to play in Champions League next season and he have to win such matches without any excuses. I expect high quality performance from Everton today. He said: ''We have to pay attention to this game. For us, it is really important because we have a possibility to go up in the table… it can be good motivation for the second part of the season.''

On the other hand Steve Bruce is on the edge, atmosphere in Newcastle is not good. A lot of rumours about his release. He don't like to play on Goodison Park - he never won in 11 matches here as a manager. Newcastle didn't recorded a single win in last 11 matches in a row.. So it's hard to image rebreak here. Newcastle lost last 5 away matches and failed to score 4 times. They have problems with creativity, they scored only one goal in last 6 games and still their best player Saint Maximin is not ready to start from first minute, Bruce said: '' '' Allan, for example - we still can't ask him to play 90 minutes because he's been idle for eight weeks." Newcastle will have big problems to break Everton defense. On the other hand their defense don't have any stability at the moment - they conceded more than one goal in 5 of last 6 matches (they conceded one goal only against last Sheffield). Key defender Schar is doubtful, other 4 defenders Clark, Yedlin, Fernandez and Dummett are still unavailable. I see huge troubles for Newcastle defense against quick and smart wingers James/Richarlison. Everton top scorer Calvert-Lewin (11 goals) should be dangerous as well - he scored in last 4 matches in a row against Newcastle.

All in all, both teams going in totally different directions - Everton is top6 material, Newcastle at the moment looks like one of the worst team in league. Everton should be able to score more than one goal here, they have a lot of options - quick counters, brilliant solo actions or set pieces. On the other hand Newcastle is poor upfront and Everton defense should be able to stop them. One goal is really maximum for guests here. 2:0/2:1

在我看来,埃弗顿在今天的比赛中有很好的机会得到3分。

埃弗顿目前对纽卡斯尔时成绩很好,他们在过去15场比赛中赢了10场。埃弗顿在最近16场主场对阵纽卡斯尔的比赛中只输了一场。上个赛季两队在古迪逊公园的比赛以2:2的平局结束,但这本来不应该发生——埃弗顿打得更好,轻松领先2:0,他们失去了注意力,在比赛的最后2分钟丢了两个球。当然,今天的团队会更加专注。

在今天的比赛之前,埃弗顿没有新的缺阵球员。核心中场杜库尔又可以上场了,这对球队来说是个好消息。埃弗顿应该能够控制中场。安德烈·戈麦斯在上一场对阵莱斯特的比赛中也表现得很好。在上一轮的比赛中,埃弗顿在主场对阵莱斯特(1:1)得1分。埃弗顿的防守看起来非常稳固,就像前几周一样(他们最近9场比赛只丢了6个球)。他们的前场进攻很好,但是他们的防守有些松散。他们让莱斯特队控制了中场。平局并不是一个糟糕的结果,莱斯特现在状态很好,是联赛前三名,但是埃弗顿主帅安切洛蒂有着伟大的梦想,他希望下赛季能参加欧冠比赛,他必须毫无理由地赢得这样的比赛。我期待埃弗顿今天有高质量的表现。他说:“我们必须关注这场比赛。对我们来说,这真的很重要,因为我们有可能在积分榜上上升……这将是赛季后半段很好的动力。”

另一方面,布鲁斯也处于下课边缘,纽卡斯尔的气氛并不好。很多关于他被释放的谣言。他不喜欢在古迪逊公园踢球——他在这里执教的11场比赛中都没有赢过。纽卡斯尔在过去的11场比赛中没有取得一场胜利。所以在这里很难想象再打破。纽卡斯尔在最近的5场客场比赛中失利,并且4球未进。他们有创造力的问题,他们在近6场比赛打入了一粒进球,主力射手有伤在身,可能会缺席。布鲁斯说:”“艾伦,例如,我们仍然不能让他踢满90分钟,因为他闲着的八周。”纽卡斯尔要突破埃弗顿的防守将会有很大的困难。另一方面,他们的防守目前没有任何稳定性——他们在过去6场比赛中丢了5个球以上(他们只在对谢菲尔德的比赛中丢了一个球)。关键后卫沙尔还不确定,其他4名后卫克拉克,叶德林,费尔南德斯和达米特仍然无法上场。我看到纽卡斯尔的防守在面对快速而聪明的边锋詹姆斯和理查德森时遇到了巨大的麻烦。埃弗顿的头号射手卡尔弗特-列文(11个进球)应该也很危险——他在对纽卡斯尔的比赛中连续4场进球。

总而言之,两支球队的方向完全不同——埃弗顿是英超前六的材料,而纽卡斯尔目前看起来是联赛中最差的球队之一。埃弗顿应该可以在这里打进不止一个球,他们有很多选择——快速反击、出色的单打或定位球。另一方面,纽卡斯尔的锋线很差,埃弗顿的防守应该能够阻止他们。比分参考2:0/2:1

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