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外籍分析师
英国亚马逊员工,常年现场看各级别联赛,非常熟悉球队,有十多年经验盈利丰厚。
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Really good value in Portugal!

2022-04-24

比赛分析

葡超

已完赛

星期一2022-04-25 01:00

解读理由

In my opinion Belenenses have really good chances to make at least one point in today's match up.

This is huge game for guests - they are on last place in league table, 3 points behind safe place. Only 4 matches left and for sure they have motivation on the highest possible level to avoid loss here. On the other hand Estoril is on safe place and plays basically for nothing till end of the season. It's big difference.

Obviously, Belenenses in current season looks very poor in away matches, but they likes to play on Estoril stadium as they didn't lost in 4 of last 5 matches here. Estoril also is not winning machine at home - they failed to win in 12 of 15 home matches in current season.

Belenenses also at the moment is in better form than Estoril. Guests lost only once in last 6 matches, on away against strong Benfica (3rd position). Belenenses defensive formation looks solid and very hard to break - they kept clean sheet in 4 of last 6 matches. In last round they won 1:0 at home against Vizela and players coming for this game full of confidence.

For me is very hard to trust for hosts - they won only once in last 8 matches. At the moment they have problems with goalscoring - they failed to score in last two matches and I see problems for them also against solid Belenenses defensive formation.

Value is on away side, no doubt about that.


在我看来,比兰尼有很好的机会在今天的比赛中至少取得一分。

这对客队来说是一场重要的比赛——他们在积分榜上排名最后,落后安全位置 3 分。只剩下 4 场比赛了,他们肯定有很强的动力来避免输球。另一方面,埃斯托里尔在安全的位置,直到赛季结束基本上都没有目标。这是很大的不同。

很明显,本赛季比兰尼在客场比赛中看起来很糟糕,但是他们喜欢在埃斯托里尔球场踢球,因为他们在这里的最近5场比赛中没有输过4场。埃斯托里尔也没有在主场表现强势——他们在本赛季的 15 场主场比赛中有 12 场未能获胜。

比兰尼目前的状态也比埃斯托里尔好。客队在过去6场比赛中只输了一次,客场对阵强势的本菲卡(排名第3)。

比兰尼的防守阵型看起来很稳固而且很难打破——他们在过去 6 场比赛中有 4 场保持不失球。上轮主场1:0获胜对阵维泽拉和为这场比赛而来的球员充满了信心。

我认为主队很难信任——他们在过去的 8 场比赛中只赢了一次。目前他们在进球方面存在问题——他们在最近两场比赛中都未能得分,我认为他们在面对稳固的贝伦尼斯防守阵型时也存在问题。

预测客队比兰尼不败。

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