Daniel头像
外籍分析师
葡萄牙人,精通葡超和葡甲赛事
  • 16

    方案

  • 112

    粉丝

High confidence

2022-04-21

比赛分析

葡杯

已完赛

星期五2022-04-22 03:15

解读理由

FC Porto like I said in some previous picks are without any discussion the best team in Portugal at the moment and have the chance to win 2 titles this season - the League and the Portuguese Cup. They are motivated after an expressive win by 7-0 against Portimonense, but a game that was much contested by the rivals Benfica and Sporting as Portimonense started the game with 9 players from u23 and their best players were not even on the bench to rest them to the next game they will have against Moreirense. The 1st leg Porto won 2-1 in Estadio Jose de Alvalade as away, but a very misleading result in my opinion as Porto started the game with a defensive approach and Sporting CP created many chances and after scoring the 1st goal (an amazing long shot by Pablo Sarabia) was when Porto reacted and Sporting had no reaction to stop Porto and suffered 2 goals in only 5 minutes that cost them the game and then the goalkeeper Marchesin made an amazing save in the minute 90 from a header from Coates. In Portugal the rule of away goals still count for this season and so for Porto to be eliminated they need to concede 2 goals atleast. I expect Porto to rest some important players to the next match against Braga as this match can make Porto the new national champion. Yesterday Porto received bad news, their best centre-back and one of the best centre-backs of the century XXI received an suspension of 23 days and so will miss this important semi-final - Pepe and one of the most influent and best players from them will miss this game aswell due to a muscular injury, the midfielder Matheus Uribe international for Colombia. The focus of Porto is on the title and they know the advantage they have and will promote some rotation to prepare the visit to Braga.

Probable line-up: Marchesin; Bruno Costa - Fabio Cardoso - Mbemba - Wendel; Grujic - Vitinha - Otavio - Fabio Vieira; Evanilson and Taremi.

Sporting CP will play this game for the only title they can discuss this season as on last weekend they lost at home against Benfica by 2-0 and it destroyed the ambition to revalidate the title they won in 2020/2021. They are doing a very good season in my opinion, but what Porto are doing is just from another world. Sporting went for the 2nd time in their history to the top 16 teams in Champions League, have the chance to do 85 points (the record of points they did was 86 points in 2015/2016 with Jorge Jesus). After the defeat against Benfica, which was totally deserved as they played terribly, the coach Ruben Amorim was pretty tough with the players and so a reaction is expected and some changes in the starting XI is expected. For sure Manuel Ugarte must start replacing Joao Palhinha and one of the most creative players in Portugal and the best player in dribbling must start instead of Pedro Goncalves who is having a bad moment. I think that will be very hard to eliminate Porto here, but I don't think that they will lose this game as Porto will be defending the 0-0 and resting a bit for the next game. The players love the coach Amorim and will do everything to defend him as in the press conference the coaches Sergio Conceicao and Ruben Amorim already exchanged some harsh words with each other.

Probable line-up: Adan; Pedro Porro - Neto - Coates - Goncalo Inacio - Nuno Santos; Manuel Ugarte - Matheus Nunes; Pablo Sarabia - Marcus Edwards and Slimani.


就像我在之前的一些分析中所说的那样,波尔图是目前葡萄牙最好的球队,有机会赢得本赛季的 2 个冠军——联赛和葡萄牙杯。在以 7-0 战胜波蒂莫内塞后,他们受到了鼓舞,但这场比赛受到了对手本菲卡和葡萄牙体育的激烈角逐,因为波蒂莫内塞有 9 名来自 u23 的球员,他们最好的球员甚至没有坐在替补席,准备下一场对阵莫雷伦斯的比赛。第一回合波尔图客场在何塞德阿尔瓦拉德球场以 2-1 获胜,但我认为这是一个有误导性的结果,波尔图以防守方式开始比赛,而葡萄牙体育创造了很多机会,并且打进第一个进球(惊人的远射由 Pablo Sarabia打进),没能阻止波尔图,并且在仅 5 分钟内就被打进了 2 个球,这让他们输掉了比赛,然后守门员马尔切辛在第 90 分钟从头球做出了惊人的扑救。在葡萄牙,本赛季客场进球的规则仍然很重要,因此波尔图要被淘汰,他们至少要被打进 2 球。我认为波尔图会为下一场对阵布拉加的比赛中轮休一些重要的球员,因为这场比赛可以让波尔图成为新的联赛冠军。昨天波尔图收到了坏消息,他们最好的中后卫和本世纪最好的中后卫之一被禁赛 23 天,因此将错过这场重要的半决赛——佩佩和最有影响力和最好的球员之一由于肌肉受伤,他们也将缺席这场比赛,哥伦比亚的中场球员马修斯·乌里韦(Matheus Uribe)。波尔图的重点是联赛冠军,他们知道自己拥有的优势,并将促进一些轮换来准备对布拉加的比赛。

葡萄牙体育将参加这场比赛,争夺他们本赛季唯一可以讨论的冠军头衔,上周末他们在主场以 2-0 输给了本菲卡,这摧毁了他们在 2020/2021 年重新获得冠军的雄心。在我看来,他们的赛季表现非常出色,但波尔图更加出色。葡萄牙体育历史上第二次进入欧冠 16 强,有机会拿到 85 分(他们在 2015/2016 年与豪尔赫·热苏斯一起拿到的积分记录是 86 分)。输给本菲卡因为他们的表现非常糟糕,主教练鲁本阿莫林对球员非常强硬,因此预计会有反弹,首发阵容也会发生一些变化。毫无疑问,曼努埃尔·乌加特会首发取代若昂·帕林尼亚,葡萄牙最有创造力的球员之一和盘带方面最好的球员必须首发,而不是表现不佳的佩德罗·贡萨尔维斯。我认为很难阻止波尔图,但我不认为他们会输掉这场比赛,因为波尔图将守住 0-0 并为下一场比赛轮换稍作休息。球员们都爱主教练阿莫林,他们会竭尽全力为他辩护,在新闻发布会上,主教练塞尔吉奥·孔塞考和鲁本·阿莫林已经互相进行了狠话。

观点仅代表作者本人,不代表本站立场。
作者在平台、组织、网站等发表的言论,意见,倾向等都只是作者本人的观点,和平台,组织网站等第三方没有关系。