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俄罗斯职业体育分析师,是欧洲最知名的分析师之一。
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18/15. My favourite pick for the day.

2022-04-20

比赛分析

法甲

已完赛

星期四2022-04-21 03:00

解读理由

I don’t often base bets on numbers alone or turn to the French Ligue1, but since today they have a full list of midweek games, I thought we could do 2 exceptions at once.

Strasbourg-Rennes will battle for the 2nd spot with 6 rounds remaining. The fewer games left in the league the more cautious should be the approach of teams chasing the same goal and placed so close to one another in the table.

Rennes has undoubtedly been one of the strongest teams in the competition this season and simply in terms of gameplay and current form they have the edge over any team in top 6 (PSG and Marseille aside). The former Lyon manager Bruno Genesio did not need much time to build a team, which strongly resembles what he had with Les Gones (Lyon club’s nickname).

Rennes currently leads the league together with PSG for the highest number of scored goals (69) and at the same time holds a decent defensive record, similar to their today’s opponent.

Prior to the 2-3 defeat against Monaco on April 15th Rennes was, without a doubt, the most in-form team in Ligue1. If you leave the weekend loss outside the brackets, this statement would still be valid. Even in the match they gave away to the Monégasques club Rennes were largely the better team and deserved better.

Strasbourg is a hard working team, which takes most of its points through 150% commitment and endless sacrificing. No wonder they are the team that has the most number of draws amongst those chasing the Champions League qualification. They are a very tough side to beat, especially on home soil. However, it would be far to say the team is strategically approaching such big games as the one in context and takes them like a marathon runner - wisely weighing up the pros and cons. And for Strasbourg avoiding a defeat vs. this vibrant attacking force that Rennes is, would be a good result, strategically speaking.

What I can see happening is the home side giving away the initiative to the superior opponent, which Rennes definitely is (simply if to compare the 2 squads) and just wait for their defensive flaws.

With this setup in mind, I find the 0 handicap at over 2.00+ on the market (you can even get a nice offer on +0.25) valuable. I don’t think Genesio will step on the same rake twice and he took lessons from the 2-3 loss vs Monaco days ago.

I am with Rennes here as even in the long perspective I do not see Strasbourg finishing above them, Marseille or Monaco in the table.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

我通常不会只看数字或法甲,但自从今天他们有一个完整的周中比赛列表,我想我们可以同时做两个例外。

斯特拉斯堡-雷恩队将在剩下的6轮比赛中争夺第二名。联赛剩下的比赛越少,追逐相同目标的球队在积分榜上的位置就越接近。

雷恩毫无疑问是本赛季最强的球队之一,单从比赛玩法和目前的状态来看,他们比前6强中的任何一支球队都有优势(除了巴黎圣日耳曼和马赛)。前里昂主教练布鲁诺·杰内西奥不需要太多时间就建立了一支球队,这与他在莱斯·戈内斯(里昂俱乐部的昵称)时的球队非常相似。

雷恩目前与巴黎圣日耳曼并列联赛进球数最高的球队(69个),同时保持着良好的防守记录,与他们今天的对手相似。

在4月15日2-3负于摩纳哥之前,雷恩毫无疑问是西甲状态最好的球队。如果您将周末损失留在括号外,此声明仍然有效。甚至在这场比赛中,他们送给Monégasques俱乐部的雷恩队在很大程度上是一支更好的球队,理应更好。

斯特拉斯堡是一个努力工作的团队,它通过150%的承诺和无尽的牺牲获得了大部分分数。难怪他们是争夺冠军联赛资格的队伍中平局次数最多的球队。他们是一支很难打败的球队,尤其是在主场。然而,它将远远说团队战略接近等大型游戏的背景和需要他们像马拉松运动员——明智地权衡利弊。和斯特拉斯堡避免失败和雷恩是这个充满活力的攻击力量,将会是一个好的结果,在战略上说话。

我能看到的是主队把主动权拱手让给了更强的对手,雷恩绝对是这样的(如果对比两支球队的话),然后就等着他们的防守漏洞吧。

有了这样的设置,我发现市场上的0障碍超过2.00(你甚至可以得到一个不错的出价+0.25)是有价值的。我不认为杰内西奥会重蹈覆辙,他从几天前2-3输给摩纳哥的比赛中吸取了教训。

我和雷恩站在一起,即使从长远来看,我也不认为斯特拉斯堡会排在他们前面,马赛或者摩纳哥在积分榜上。

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