In my opinion Chelsea have really good chances to make 3 points in today's match up.

Despite loss in last match against Arsenal at Stamford Bridge, Chelsea still have very good record against them at home in Premier League - 6 wins in last 9 matches.

Chelsea have one new absence before today's match - central midfielder Kovacic is unavailable, but that shouldn't be big problem - Kante will replace. On the other hand Arsenal have more serious squad problems - they are without 4 key players: defenders Tierney & Tomiyasu, striker Lacazette (best assistant) and best team player (according to the ratings) central midfielder Partey. In current season Arsenal played 14 matches without Partey and Tierney and they lost 8 times.

Chelsea coming for this game in good mood - at the weekend they won 2:0 in good style against Crystal Palace in FA Cup and qualified to the big final. Morale in team for sure is on good level. This is special match for Chelsea manager Tuchel, match #50 in Premier League for him on the The Blues bench. Chelsea is in good form in league - they won 6 of last 7 matches.

Arsenal on the other hand is in poor form - they lost last 3 consecutive matches. At the moment they have big problems with creativity and finishing product - they scored only 2 goals in last 5 Premier League matches. I see also problems with goalscoring for them today - Chelsea with Tuchel on the bench kept clean sheet 25 times in 49 matches (36 goals in total, best result from all Premier League teams during that period).

Arsenal have serious squad problems and is not in good shape at the moment. In current season they already lost 5 matches against teams from top3 (1:15 goals balance!) and I see very good possibility for 6/6 and Arsenal 4 consecutive loss in Premier League.

在我看来，切尔西在今天的比赛中获得 3 分的机会非常大。

尽管上一次在斯坦福桥输给了阿森纳，但切尔西在英超主场对阵阿森纳的战绩仍然非常出色——最近9场比赛取得6胜。

切尔西在今天的比赛前有一个新的缺席——中场科瓦契奇无法上场，但这应该不是什么大问题——坎特将取代他。另一方面，阿森纳有更严重的阵容问题——他们缺少了 4 名关键球员：后卫蒂尔尼和富安、前锋拉卡泽特（助攻最多）和最佳球队球员（根据收视率）中场球员帕蒂。本赛季阿森纳在缺少帕蒂和蒂尔尼的情况下参加了14场比赛，输掉了8次。

切尔西本场比赛心态很好——上周末他们在足总杯中2:0战胜水晶宫，晋级决赛。球队的士气肯定处于良好的水平。这是切尔西主帅图赫尔的特别比赛，执教英超的第 50 场比赛。切尔西在联赛中的状态很好——他们在过去的 7 场比赛中赢了 6 场。

另一方面，阿森纳的状态很差——他们最近连续 3 场比赛失利。他们在创造力和终结能力方面存在很大问题——他们在过去的 5 场英超比赛中只进了 2 个球。他们今天在进球上很可能也会出现问题——图赫尔在执教的 49 场比赛中保持了 25 次不失球（总共丢 36 个球，在此期间所有英超球队的最佳成绩）。

阿森纳有严重的阵容问题，目前状态不佳。在本赛季他们已经输掉了 5 场与前三名球队的比赛（1:15 的净胜球！），我认为阿森纳 4 连败的可能性很大。